2016 NFL Betting Preview: New York Jets

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jets darrelle revis

Darrelle Revis’ impact was lessened by a wrist injury last season but he’s on pace to lead the Jets secondary in Week 1

By Pick Sixty Sports

Things took an upward swing for the Jets in 2015, as the team managed to post its first winning record since the 2010 season when they were 11-5 and made it to the Conference Final. The defense remained strong under Todd Bowles and Kacy Rodgers while the offense (24.2 PPG) had its most productive season since 2008.

LAST YEAR’S RECORD & 2016 NFL FUTURES

Win-Loss: 10-6 SU and 9-6-1 ATS

Over/Under: 7-8-1 O/U

Noteworthy: Only the Panthers (+19), Chiefs (+15), Cardinals (+12) and Bengals (+9) had a better turnover margin than the Jets (+8) before their Week 17 collapse vs. the Bills.

Odds to Win Super Bowl: 50 to 1

Odds to Win Conference: 25 to 1

Odds to Win Division: +527

Season Win Total Odds: 7.5 Over (-145); 7.5 Under (+115)

An off-season that saw the signing of RB Matt Forte has been sidetracked by the standoff between QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jets GM Mike Mccagnan, and neither side seems willing to budge until the final day before training camp. And although the Jets won five-straight games down the stretch, Fitzpatrick didn’t do himself any favors with a pitiful performance in Week 17 (16 for 37; 3 INTs).

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Bilal Powell backs up Forte and the Jets signed Khiry Robinson (Saints) in March for short-yardage situations. The O-Line is a bit of an uncertainty with LT Ryan Clady (ACL) taking over for retired D’Brickashaw Ferguson, but as long as the Jets can threaten teams with their passing game, this unit should be okay. The Jets took just 3.6 offensive penalties per game last year and before Week 17, ranked fifth overall in turnover margin.

JETS BOTTOM LINE: SECOND-HALF VALUE

The Jets schedule starts off incredibly tough, with games against the Bengals, Chiefs, Seahawks, Steelers and Cardinals, not to mention a revenge road game in Buffalo (Week 2). While it may not be wise to write this team off by the midway point, books will without a doubt be forced to adjust odds if they struggle.

In Week 8, New York begins a series of games vs. inferior run D’s and this could be nice opportunity to nab some line value. Forte and Powell are a career 24-14 ATS with a combined 100-plus rushing yards and 10-plus touches and they’ll likely end up being O-Co Chan Gailey’s most reliable weapons. Circle games against the Browns, Dolphins, Rams, Colts and Niners for potential ATS plays on the J-E-T-S.

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