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By Greg Dempson
This is my fourth College selection at the EveryEdge site as I attempt to win four in a row. In week 1 my selection cashed with Air Force, in week 2 Navy was a winner and last week I won with the Texas Tech Red Raiders. On to this week’s selection.
Arizona at Stanford Total 10:30 ET game #153
The last time Stanford and Arizona played was in the 2012 season which is somewhat of an oddity as they had met eight consecutive seasons between 2005 to 2012. Stanford returns home off back-to-back PAC–12 road wins, 41–31 at USC, (over 50.5,) and 42–24 at Oregon State, (Over 47.)
Arizona defense was exposed in last Saturday’s 56-30 home loss to UCLA as the Wildcats’ defense was shredded for 497 yards and the most points they have allowed since a 58-21 loss at Arizona State in 2013. The ‘Cats will also be without All-American linebacker Scooby Wright III as he sprained his right foot. Arizona has lost its last three games to ranked opponents allowing an average of 48.3 PPG. On offense, the Wildcats are certainly putting up points as all three of their lined games have sailed over the totals with combined scores of 74, 64 and 86 PPG.
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View From the 50 Yard Line
– The Wildcats are 10–2 to the over after gaining 125 or less rushing yards.
– The Cardinal are 18–5 to the over when off back-to-back games whereby they totaled 450 or more yards.
– Arizona is 11–4 to the over in their last 15 October games.
– The two teams are 3–1 to the over in their last four with their most recent game, at Stanford, resulting in 102 combined points.
– The Cardinal is 5–2 to the over vs. winning teams while Arizona is 10–3 to the over next after allowing 40 or more points.
– Head coach Rodriquez is 12–3 to the over when his team’s playing on a grass surface averaging more than 71 PPG.
– Play excellent rushing teams, (Arizona,) averaging 4.8 or more yards per rush, to sail over the total when playing against a team with an average rushing defense allowing 3.5 to 4.3 YPR, after outrushing an opponent by 125 or more yards in three straight games. This system is 31–8 = 79.5% to the over the past five seasons.
College Football Picks:
My Every Edge Game of the Week is for Arizona and Stanford to sail over the total of 60 or 60.5 points.
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