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The biggest regular season
game in the history of the NFL...yes, like everyone else, we'll discuss
it, but first we wanted to talk a little about NFL home dogs. Of course,
this segues nicely into the New England - Indianapolis matchup, as
Peyton Manning and his Super Bowl defending Colts are underdogs at the
RCA Dome for the first time since 2002 and only the second time since
1999.
So how have teams getting points
at home fared so far this season in the NFL? Well, five or six days
ago the answer to that question would have been an enthusiastic "very
good", but over the span of eight hours last weekend, the same question
now produces a considerably more subdued response.
You see, heading into Week
#8 home dogs were paying off at a very profitable 62.5% (on over 30
games), which is the kind of number that peaks the interest of any sports
bettor.
The record had punters chattering
about it on the forums, wondering whether the trend would continue.
It had bettors eyeing the five home dogs on the Week 8 schedule with
a little extra attention...and then...yikes.
As the saying goes, "I guess
I picked the wrong week to jump on the home dogs", well maybe that
isn't a saying, but you get what we mean. Those dogs lost their bite
in a big way, as they served up a fat "0'fer", going 0-5 ATS.
So what are bettors thinking
of the home dogs this week? Week #9 serves up five more of them, none
more intriguing than the Super Bowl champ Colts. With the Patriots making
a mockery of that whole parity thing the NFL prides itself on, it's
a little surreal, but not overly surprising that the defending champions,
who are undefeated themselves, are5.5-point underdogs in their own stadium.
Still, the betting public can't get enough of the Pats, backing them
at a 85% clip.
The other home dogs this week
don't have the resume of Indy, but they're also not facing an opponent
that will likely shatter every offensive record the league has.
Philadelphia hosts the Dallas
Cowboys on Sunday night in what is shaping up as a more lopsided betting
event than the Colts-Pats. The home team Eagles are barely registering
at the books, as Dallas money pours in (90%) on a Cowboy team laying
3 points on the road in a divisional battle.
The same pattern is playing
out with the three other home dogs on the board, as the Jets (+ 3.5
points vs. Washington), the Bills (+1 vs. Cincinnati) and the Vikings
(+7 hosting San Diego) are all being frozen out by bettors. Each of
them is attracting less than 15% of the volume wagered on their respective
games.
It looks like the betting public
will be the ones who get hurt if these dogs get their bite back.
Props For the Big Game
By the time Tom Brady leads
his team on to the field this Sunday in Indianapolis, bettors will have
had more than enough of the hype and be ready for kick-off. One way
to add even more excitement to this event is by having a little action
on a prop bet or two...and from the early betting activity it looks
like most bettors will.
As mentioned, there has already
been a steady stream of activity on the props, with bettors wagering
on everything from which team they think will score first, how many
yards passing the QBs will have, the number of TDs scored, and on and
on.
Here's a list of the more
popular ones so far as we head into the weekend:
Will Either Team Score in
the First 5 1/2 Minutes of the Game
Yes -125
No -105
Patriots - Total Points
Over 31.5 (-120)
Under 31.5
Colts - Total Points
Over 26.5 (-120)
Under 26.5
Patriots vs. Colts - Team
to Score First
Patriots -150
Colts +120
Patriots vs. Colts - Longest
Touchdown of the Game
Longest TD Over 54.5
Longest TD Under 54.5 (-120)
Player to Record Most Passing
Yards
Tom Brady -21.5 (-115)
Peyton Manning +21.5 (-115)
Randy Moss
- Will He Score a Touchdown
Yes -200
No +160
Peyton Manning - Will He
Throw an Interception
Yes -160
No +130
Marvin Harrison
- Total Receptions
Receptions Over 5.5 (even)
Receptions Under 5.5 (-130)
There are dozens of more prop
betting opportunities, both player and team related, at SPORTSBETTING.COM
Enjoy all the games this weekend
and be sure to stop by SPORTSBETTING.COM to check out some of the best bonus
offers and promotions in the industry.
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