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NFL TRENDS - WEEK #15, 2007
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 13, 2007
DENVER BRONCOS AT HOUSTON TEXANS
- The Broncos are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 regular season starts overall.
- Denver is 6-3 ATS the last nine times they have played a non-divisional AFC team on the road.
- Houston is 1-6 ATS with back-to-back games against divisional opponents on-deck.
- Houston has a 2-5 ATS mark before a matchup with the Colts.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 15, 2007
CINCINNATI BENGALS AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
- Cincinnati's overall record on the road the past few years is a reasonable 16-8-2 ATS but in 2007 they are just 1-4-1 ATS.
- Cincinnati is 9-5 ATS as a road favorite.
- Cincinnati has a record of 5-1-1 ATS the last seven times they have faced an NFC team on the road.
- San Francisco has a 3-16 ATS record when losing the game straight-up.
- San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games at home.
- San Francisco is 1-5 ATS the last six times they have played the second game of back-to-back home games. The lone win in this trend was earlier this year when the 49ers hosted the Ravens one week before San Fran's bye week.
- Cinci's record against the 49ers since the two teams met in Super Bowl XXIII is 5-0-1 ATS. The Bengals have also won the two most recent meetings SU, following an eight-game streak of futility. Note that both wins were played in Ohio.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 16, 2007
ARIZONA CARDINALS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
- Arizona is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-divisional games following a divisional matchup.
- Arizona has a 1-3 ATS record in its past four games that followed a meeting vs. the Seahawks.
- Arizona has a three year ATS win streak going in the team's final road game of the season. The Cards were an underdog in all three games but we should point out that all three opponents were playoff bound, often resulting in rest for key starters late in the game.
- New Orleans has a record of 5-11 ATS in their last 16 starts overall, including last year's playoffs.
- New Orleans is 3-10 ATS the last 13 times they have been favored by more than three points, including a 2-5 ATS mark this season.
- The Saints have a record of 2-10 ATS in their 12 most-recent home starts.
- The Saints are 5-12-1 ATS when hosting non-divisional opponents.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
ATLANTA FALCONS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
- Atlanta has a record of 12-7-1 ATS as underdogs when coming off a straight-up loss.
- Atlanta is 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games on grass.
- Tampa Bay is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when favored by -8.5 points or more.
- Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS when coming off a non-divisional game and facing a divisional opponent seeking revenge from the most recent meeting. The Bucs embarrassed Atlanta 31-7 in Week 11.
- Tampa Bay is 1-3 ATS in its past four games against the Falcons.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: Atlanta
BALTIMORE RAVENS AT MIAMI DOLPHINS
- The Ravens are 2-11 ATS this season and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 starts, going back to last year.
- Baltimore is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- The Ravens have a record of 0-8 ATS the last eight times they have been a road favorite.
- Baltimore has come up short six-straight times (0-6 SU/ATS) when playing the first of two road games back-to-back.
- Miami is 13-6 ATS as an underdog between 4-10 points.
- Miami is 7-3-1 ATS the past five years after allowing 34 points or more.
- Miami is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the AFC North.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: Miami
BUFFALO BILLS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS
- Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in its past four December road games that followed back-to-back SU wins.
- Cleveland is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 starts overall.
- Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in recent matchups vs. the AFC East. The only loss was early this year at New England.
- Cleveland is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games as a favorite.
- The Browns have a record of 0-7 ATS in their last seven games before a meeting with Cincinnati.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
GREEN BAY PACKERS AT ST. LOUIS RAMS
- Green Bay is 2-4 ATS as a double-digit road favorite and in the past two occurrences the Packers actually lost the game straight-up.
- The Rams are 6-2 ATS in their past eight matchups with the Packers.
- The Rams have a 0-4-1 ATS record as a home underdog of 10 points or more.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS
- Jacksonville is 9-2 SU/ATS in its past 11 games.
- Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS the past six times when playing on the road and getting +3.5 points or more.
- Jacksonville is 6-3 ATS as an underdog in cold weather, outdoor December games since entering the league in 1995.
- The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
- Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS in its past three regular season meetings with a team from the AFC South.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
NEW YORK JETS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
- The Jets are 4-8-1 ATS in their past 13 games overall.
- The Jets have a 1-5 ATS mark the past six times when playing the first of back-to-back road games.
- The New York Jets have a 7-1 ATS record following a SU/ATS loss when facing a division rival that beat the Jets in the most recent meeting. New England won the Week 1 meeting between these teams 38-14.
- The New York Jets are 5-2 ATS in their past seven road games vs. divisional opponents.
- New England is 7-1 ATS in its past eight games at Foxboro.
- New England is 25-9 ATS in its past 34 games vs. teams from the AFC East.
- After allowing 14 points or less, New England has an 11-2 ATS record in home games vs. the AFC.
- Overall, home or away, New England has a mark of 6-1 ATS in head-to-head matchups with the Jets.
- The Jets are 8-3 ATS their last 11 visits to New England.
- The visitor in New York Jets/New England series is 15-2 ATS.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT CAROLINA PANTHERS
- Seattle has a record of 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.
- Seattle is 4-10 ATS the last 14 times they have played a non-divisional opponent on the road.
- Seattle's overall mark against the NFC South, including a playoff win over Carolina, is 4-1 ATS in the past five and 8-3 ATS since realignment.
- The Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in four regular season road starts against the NFC South all-time. This will be Seattle's first-ever visit to Carolina.
- Carolina is 4-0 ATS as a home underdog of +7 points or more.
- Carolina is 40-5 ATS at home when they win the game straight-up.
- Carolina has a 10-1 ATS record in its past 11 starts vs. teams from the NFC West.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
TENNESSEE TITANS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
- Tennessee is 0-9 ATS the last nine times it has faced a team from the AFC West.
- Tennessee is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road starts.
- Kansas City is 4-1-2 ATS in its final home game of the regular season over the past seven years, winning all seven games straight-up. The past four years KC has scored 30-plus points each time.
- The SU winner in Chiefs home games is 14-1 ATS.
- Tennessee is 0-2 ATS vs. the Chiefs since the Titans moved from Houston. Both games were in Nashville and this is the first-ever regular season Titan visit to Arrowhead.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT OAKLAND RAIDERS
- The Colts are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 starts, including last year's playoff games.
- The Colts are 4-1 ATS the last five times they have been a road favorite.
- The Colts are 6-1-1 ATS the past eight times when playing the second of back-to-back road games.
- The Raiders are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 regular season starts.
- The Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games.
- Oakland has a mark of 2-10 ATS the last 12 times they have hosted a non-divisional team.
- Indianapolis has a 1-4 ATS record in its past five games against the Raiders. This is the first visit to Oakland for the Colts since 1995.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: Indianapolis
DETROIT LIONS AT SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
- Detroit is on a three-game ATS win streak against non-conference opponents.
- Detroit is 3-1 ATS when getting 10 points or more on the road against an AFC opponent.
- The Chargers are 2-6 ATS the last eight times they have been a double digit favorite.
- The Chargers are 6-2 ATS the last eight times they have faced a non-divisional opponent immediately before a matchup vs. a division rival.
- The Chargers have a 10-5 ATS mark the last 15 times they have played an NFC team.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT DALLAS COWBOYS
- Philadelphia has a 2-4 ATS record in recent games against teams from the NFC East.
- Philadelphia is 33-4 ATS when they win SU vs. a divisional opponent.
- Dallas is 3-1 ATS in its past four divisional contests.
- Dallas has a 10-4 ATS record as a home favorite coming off a straight-up win by three points or less.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
WASHINGTON REDSKINS AT NEW YORK GIANTS
- Following a 0-3 ATS performance in 2006, the Redskins are 2-0 ATS on the road vs. NFC East rivals so far this year and looking for the sweep this week in New York.
- New York is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 divisional matchups, home or away (including playoffs).
- The Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a divisional opponent.
- The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. the Redskins.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: New York Giants
MONDAY, DECEMBER 17, 2007
CHICAGO BEARS AT MINNESOTA VIKINGS
- Chicago is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 regular season games.
- Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its past five regular season games played at night.
- Chicago is 2-4 ATS in their last six road games vs. a divisional opponent.
- The Bears are 5-2-2 ATS the last nine times they have played a road game the week following a road game.
- Chicago is 1-4 ATS during the past five years in their final road game of the regular season.
- Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in their last six starts overall.
- Minnesota has never won five consecutive games SU or ATS since HC Childress took over in 2006.
- Minnesota is 11-4-1 ATS in its past 16 games against the NFC North.
- The Vikings are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games.
Everyedge.com Trend Advantage: No Edge
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