Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers was 26 of 41 last week for 351 yards and 3 touchdowns
It’s crunch time for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers as the team tries to snap its longest losing streak since 2008.
WEEK 12 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Odds: Eagles -3.5 and O/U 47
If you crossed Philadelphia’s first three games of 2016 off the list and focused on their 2-5 straight-up record since, this pointspread would be one of the bigger head scratchers of the weekend. Green Bay has been a road dog 15 times in the past four years and usually its either a playoff game or at least against an opponent with a winning record.
The Packers’ record in those games is 5-10 ATS with 10 overs and 5 unders and the two games this season finished well above total. Week 8 in Atlanta, Green Bay lost 33-32 in the final minute and then last week in Washington, the Pack were burned for 515 yards in a 42-24 blowout.
Washington was the fourth-straight team to smash their projected point total against the crippled Packer D and conference road dogs off a road loss that have been allowing a ton of points lately are 28-20-1 ATS. Since 2006, that record improves to 16-6 ATS (73%) and the majority of those losers were getting more than a touchdown. Smaller dogs like the Pack have a 9-2 ATS record on an average line of +5.
Playing their third consecutive road game, the Packers are “live” in a system that 29-19 O/U since league realignment and conference games have cashed at a rate of 68-percent over the total. The latest run for these road warriors is 10 overs and 1 under and it is going to take every trick in Mike McCarthy’s bag for the Pack to put up big numbers vs. the tough Philly defense.
EVERYEDGE.com MNF PREDICTION
The Eagles went 2-3 ATS as a fave laying more than -3 points last year and they were 7-9 ATS overall. This line is the most Philly has been favored by since Week 1 against Cleveland and it activates a solid NFL system that is 66-percent with more than 100 plays the past seven years. In the second-half of the season, the record is 20-10 O/U and it’s riding a hot streak of 8 overs and 1 under where games have finished “Over” the total by an average of more than 15 points.
Philly’s three remaining home games are divisional and this is a chance to prove they are legitimate contenders in the hunt for a Wild Card. Shop for a good line and hit this game to finish in the 50’s.