NBA Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics Game 1

Pinnacle Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 at Boston Celtics +4 Total 219.5

by Greg Dempson

Based on how the Warriors manhandled the Spurs last night it appears that the Warriors will be heading back to the finals, will they be facing the Cavaliers in a repeat of last years’ final vs. Cleveland or will Boston be able to defeat the defending champions?

The early money is on Cleveland as the opening line of -3.5 has climbed to -4 with the total sitting at 219.5. Both Cleveland as well as Golden State have been unbeatable this postseason, can the Celtics break into the win column vs. the Cavaliers? In 29 playoff games against the Celtics, James, (when playing with the Heat and Cleveland,) is 17-12 and averaging 29 points, 8.8 rebounds and 5.8 assists.

He also comes in with six straight 30-point games in this year’s playoffs and is the first player ever to amass 275 points, 70 rebounds and 50 assists in the first 8 playoff games of a season. James averaged 29.3 points, 9.5 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game vs. Boston this season, while Celtics scoring leader Isaiah Thomas averaged 29.5 points and 6.5 assists per game against Cleveland.

Here are some game one systems.

First Half System

· Play all teams OVER the first half total when the O/U is greater than 105 points and they’ve covered 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, when playing only their second game in five days. This system is 50-21 = 70% ATS since 1996.

· Play against favorites winning 60% to 75% of their games in the first half after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games when playing a team with a winning record. This system is 140-80 = 64% ATS the past five seasons,

Full Game System

· Play on home underdogs when revenging a loss where an opponent scored 110 or more points, when playing only their second game in 5 days. This system is 87-56 = 61% the past five seasons. in Review

· My last selections here at Every Edge were opinions only and they went 2-1 in game seven in the Wizards and Celtics series.

NBA Pick

I offer up the following opinion for tonight’s game and it is on Boston at +4.