Dallas, Washington and the New York Giants are considered front runners this season to win the NFC East!
The NFC East was considered a powerhouse division just a few years ago but now, they look more like a list of candidates for this season’s “Move Improved” category. Dallas, New York and Philadelphia are at least looking to make this divisional race competitive. Washington, meanwhile, is stuck trying to figure out how they’re still pegged as the third best team after winning the East in 2016.
ODDS TO WIN NFC EAST (Now & Then)
Here is each team’s current odds to win the division along with their previously posted odds from early June, in parentheses.
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Tony Romo is ready to give it another go and the Cowboys’ backup plan for now is Dak Prescott. In a perfect world, Prescott’s only duties will be in a meaningless Week 17 game vs. the Redskins but we all know that Romo is one crushing hit away from the IR.
The Cowboys O-Line and run game will help take pressure off the passing game but if the defense can’t make stops, Dallas may end up needing big production. The “Over” continues to attract buyers, moving from 9 to 9.5 in July. It’s no surprise for this huge public fave. The Cowboys have an alright schedule but if the bandwagon trend continues, it makes this an attractive “Under” play to consider.
NEW YORK GIANTS
As far as NFC East teams making comebacks, the Giants seem just as likely as the Cowboys and the divisional odds (+250) are 75 points better. New York’s strength is also on the offensive side of the ball and their Week 1 battle vs. the Cowboys sets up like barnburner. The current total is O/U 49.
New York was only 2-4 SU vs. NFC East teams each of the past two seasons and that has to improve. All-time, Eli Manning has a 37-36 SU record vs. the division and early odds favor the G-Men in five of thier non-divisional matchups. Eight or nine wins is likely but the juice on “Over” 8 is too much for a future. As an alternative, some books are offering a prop on “Will the New York Giants make the playoffs?”. Odds for betting “Yes” are only -105 (No is -125).
The Redskins front seven isn’t going to strike fear against any offensive line and on the road, Washington went 0-5 SU last year vs. teams that averaged 23-plus points per game. Among those five teams, we have a division rival (Giants) and two playoff teams (Pats, Panthers). Well, this year on the road the Skins face the Giants, Bengals and Cardinals, not to mention a much improved Cowboys team in Week 12.
Kirk Cousins and the the rest of his team may take a step this year, proving they can hang in a hostile environment but for my money, that just makes the Redskins a potential value play with enough points (ATS). Not an investment for going “Over” 7.5 wins.
Philly’s projected wins opened at 7.5 Over/Under (-110) but early money edged a half-game off that number and things have stabilized since then. The offense failed to impress during training camp and whether it’s Sam Bradford or Chase Daniels under center, they could struggle with such a thin group at WR.
First-year HC Doug Pederson will eventually develop a system that works for him but it’s going to be tough finding any rhythm this year against a difficult schedule. Make a note for Philly’s late-season games vs. the Redskins, Ravens, Giants and Cowboys. Perhaps we’ll find some ATS value on the Eagles at that point. As for straight-up records, 7-9 seems like a best case scenario.