NFL Football

vince lombardi

After Week 3 of the EEH (EE Handicapper for short), we have a new leader – RGOODIE1 – has taken the lead with 12 points. RGOODIE1 went 4-1 taking the Giants, Texans, Bills, Broncos and his only loss was taking the Ravens who were upset at home by the Bengals. Superman and a hockey fan are tied for second with 11 points each.

Congrats goes out to mmcewan & bodigard going 5-0 in Week 3.

Quick recap on Week 3 Betting




9-7-0 to the Over

NFL 2015 Season To Date

Spreads: 24-24

Totals: 25-23-1

We asked Frank Doyle of how they did after Week 3.

“Week 3 was a big victory for the bettors. Nothing went right for us as the chalk teams covered 10 games and the dogs that won, were heavily backed by the bettors. Buffalo vs Miami was brutal for us as we labored under the ida that Miami was a contender. Big mistake on our part.”

Favorite quote of week 3 came from Ed Salmons of Westgate SuperBook to ESPN’s David Purdum:

“I haven’t seen the Bears make a first down in two hours.”

EEH NFL Week 4 Odds 

EEH NFL Week 4 odds are out and available to make your picks in the contest. There 5 home dogs (Miami vs Jets are in London, England) and two double digit dogs.

Pittsburgh Steelers +3 vs Batimore Ravens -3

Miami Dolphins +2 vs NY Jets -2

Indianapolis Colts -10 vs Jacksonville Jaguars +10

Atlanta -6.5 vs Houston Texans +6.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 vs Carolina Panthers -3.5

Buffalo Bills -5.5 vs NY Giants +5.5

Chicago Bears +3 vs Oakland Raiders -3

Washington Redskins +3 vs Philadelphia Eagles -3

Cincinnati Bengals -4 vs Kansas City Chiefs +4

San Diego Chargers -8 vs Cleveland Browns +8

San Francisco 49ers +9 vs Green Bay Packers -9

Denver Broncos -7 vs Minnesota Vikings +7

Arizona Cardinals -7 vs St. Louis Rams +7

New Orleans Saints -6.5 vs Dallas Cowboys +6.5

Seattle Seahawks -10 vs Detroit +10


Line Moves of Interest – Week 4

– Ravens v Steelers: opened as pick and move 2.5 points fav Ravens, the Big Ben affect. Also the total dropped 2pts from 45.5 to 43.5

– Jets v Dolphins: the fish opened -1 and now are a home dog +1.5…Joe Philbin is odds on favourite to get fired first +240. This is in London, England

– Jaguars v Colts: Moved 1.5 pts to -10 Colts, I’m not backing the jaguars after their shellacking in foxboro

– Texans v Falcons: Moved 1.5 pts to -6.5 Falcons, Falcons still not getting respect over a musical chairs qb situation in Houston

Stop by the Everyedge Sports Betting Forum for more Week 4 Football discussion.

seahawksBy Greg Dempson

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks Total 43.5

There are nine teams that have started the season at 0–2 and three of those nine winless teams recently played in and won a Super Bowl, Seattle the New York Giants and Indianapolis. Of those nine winless teams, six of them made the playoffs last season. Looking back through the years, only 12% of the teams that started the season at 0–2 have advance to the post season since 1990.

Three teams started this season at 0–2 and made the playoffs, but more impressively, those three teams eventually won the Super Bowl? Do you know what three teams? The answer’s at the end of this column.

Seahawks fans do not despair

Pete Carroll has not fared well coaching Seattle on the road as the team is only 19–23, they do their best work at home. This week they host the winless Bears and the following week they are featured on Monday night vs. the Lions, who are 0–2 and hosting a tough opponent this Sunday, the Broncos.

Now for the good news, Kam Chancellor is back with the team. In their first two games this season, without Chancellor, the Seahawks allowed 79% completion on passes down field 15 or more yards totaling 269 yards in games one and two along with two touchdowns. Last season in games one and two, with Chancellor playing, Seattle held opponents to 64 yards in the identical scenario while allowing only one touchdown.

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View From the 50 Yard Line

  • In all games that Russell Wilson has started, last week was the first time he lost by double digits.
  • Jimmy Klassen would love to have that problem as he is 1–17 as a starter, (4–14,) ATS. In those 17 starts the average margin of defeat in those 18 games is 30.2 vs. 13.4. That combined score is 43.6 which is bang on with the full game Over/Under total of 43.5 points.
  • The Bears are 15–29 to the under on the road when off back-to-back losses, average score is: Opponent 23.5 vs. Chicago 17.7, (1.2 combined points.)
  • Seattle is 0–6 to the under when home off a loss with an average score of Seattle 19.7 vs. opponent 12.0.
  • Chicago held their first two opponents to an average of 311 yards per game, special teams are a nemesis though.
  • The Bears are 4–10 to the under following a double-digit home loss.
  • Play teams that allowed an average of 90 or less rushing yards per game last season, (Seattle,) to play under the total when hosting a conference foe with an over/under between 42.5 to 49 points. This system is 0–3 to the under this season as well as 0–5 to the under the previous five seasons, 2–15 to the under in the past 10 seasons and 12–40 = 77% to the under since 1983. The average score in this system is 39 points which is better than a field goal lower than the current total of 43.5.

My Every Edge Game of the Week Selection – NFL Picks

My recommendation is for the Chicago Bears and Seattle Seahawks to stay under the total of 43.5 points.

Answer to Trivia Question

So, what three teams started the season at 0–2 and ended up winning the Super Bowl?

  • The 1992 Cowboys, (when Emmitt Smith held out,) was the first of the three.
  • In 2001 Drew Bledsoe was injured in game 1, the man who replaced him was none other than Tom Brady.
  • In 2007 the New York Giants defeated the Patriots 17–14 in the Super Bowl as 12 point dogs and thus the Patriots chance at a perfect season ended, and the 1972 Miami Dolphins are internally grateful

Visit for all your handicapping needs. 

rams vs redskinsBy Greg Dempson

St.Louis Rams v Washington Redskins – Total 41

The Rams, fresh off an overtime victory while hosting the Seahawks, travel to FedEx Field to take on the Redskins. Nick Foles was 18 of 27 for 297 yards and one touchdown in his Rams debut. Foles went 2-2 as a starter against Washington when he played for the Eagles. Last season the Rams, (without Foles,) manhandled the Redskins at FedEx Field, (24–00.)

In last week’s game vs. the Seahawks, (34–31,) for St. Louis, the final score was a little misleading with regards to pure offense as there were three special teams touchdowns. Without those special teams’ scores a final of 44 combined points was obviously a lot closer to the O/U of 41.

Washington will be short handed on offense as receiver DeSean Jackson (hamstring) is out for 3 to 4 weeks and tight end Jordan Reed (quadriceps) is listed as questionable. He had seven catches last week vs. Miami for 63 yards including a touchdown. Washington handed the ball to RB Alfred Morris 25 times vs. the Dolphins and he responded with 121 rushing yards. The Redskins defense played well enough holding Miami to only 256 but they were done in by their special teams, (ranked #29,) as Jarvis Landry returned a punt 69 yards for a touchdown.

Best odds on every game this year – Pinnacle Sports!

View From the 50 Yard Line

– The Rams are 3–8 to the under in their last 11 road games.

– These two teams have a history of staying under the total as they are 3–7 to the under in their last 10 have played under the number including the last four games played in Washington, (average combined scores of 28.3 points.)

– The Rams are 2–6 to the under in their first road game and 1–8 to the under when off a home dog win.

– Washington is 45–73 and +23.50-units to the under when an underdog of +3.5 to +9.5 points.

– The Rams are 11–24 to the under when away and the O/U is between 38.5 and 42 points.

– Cousins is 1–4 to the under when a home dog.

– The Redskins are 2–5 to the under before a Thursday night game.

– St. Louis is 0–5 to the under when away from home and playing an opponent with a losing straight up record.

– Foles is 1–3 to the under in his four career games vs. the Redskins.

– Rams head coach Fisher is 6–16 to the under in their next game when off a straight up underdog win with an average combined score of 36 PPG.

– Redskins head coach Gruden was 1–4 to the under at home in his inaugural season vs. non division opponents.

– After scoring 30 or more points, the Rams are 4–10 to the under in their next game.

– In somewhat of an oddity, when NFC-East teams play NFC-West opponents, these games are on an amazing under streak of 1–15–1 to the under.

NFL Pick:

My EveryEdge NFL Game of the Week is for the St. Louis Rams and Washington Redskins to stay under the total of 41 points.

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Don’t Pull on Superman’s Cape!

Superman leads the EE Handicapper Contest with 9 points after two weeks in the EE Handicapper Football Contest. RGOODIE1 is second with 8 points and there are 6 others all tied with 7 points a piece. Superman went 4-1 with in Week 2 with the Patriots, Cardinals, Bengals and Raiders winning while Manziel’s Browns upended Superman from going undefeated.

NFL Week 3 Odds are out for the EE Handicapper Football Contest and there are a couple of double digit dogs and 3 home dogs for contestants to think about.


Date & Time Chalk Spread Dog
9/24 8:25 ET At NY Giants -3.5 Washington
9/27 1:00 ET Pittsburgh -1.5 At St. Louis
9/27 1:00 ET At Minnesota -2.5 San Diego
9/27 1:00 ET At Houston -6.5 Tampa Bay
9/27 1:00 ET At NY Jets -2.5 Philadelphia
9/27 1:00 ET At Carolina -6.5 New Orleans
9/27 1:00 ET At New England -13.5 Jacksonville
9/27 1:00 ET At Baltimore -3 Cincinnati
9/27 1:00 ET At Cleveland -3.5 Oakland
9/27 1:00 ET Indianapolis -3.5 At Tennessee
9/27 1:00 ET Atlanta -2 At Dallas
9/27 4:05 ET At Arizona -6.5 San Francisco
9/27 4:25 ET At Seattle -14.5 Chicago
9/27 4:25 ET At Miami -2.5 Buffalo
9/27 8:30 ET Denver -3 At Detroit
9/28 8:30 ET At Green Bay -7 Kansas City

images-21Teams playing the 2nd of their back to back road games, all four teams got crushed this Sunday.

– Detroit Lions lost 26-16 to Minnesota Vikings

– Baltimore Ravens lost 37-33 to Oakland Raiders

– Miami Dolphins lost 23 to 20 to Jacksonville Jaguars

– Seattle Seahawks lost 27 to 17 to Green Bay Packers

All four were 0-4 ATS and the totals were 2-2. What was particularly shocking was Miami, a 6 point favorite and the Ravens, a 4.5 point, both lost outright to teams who are perennial bottom feeders.

In Week 3, the teams on the 2nd back to back road games this week are:

– Atlanta Falcons -1 at Dallas Cowboys

– Denver Broncos -2 at Detroit Lions

– Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 at Houston Texans

– San Francisco 49ers +6 at Arizona Cardinals

This is a trend we are going to monitor this season to see if there is value betting against the road team.

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