NCAA Basketball

san diego state basketball

By Greg Dempson

San Diego State -3 vs George Washington +3 – Pinnacle Sports 

Tip time for tonight’s contest is 9:30 ET and the contest is televised nationally on ESPN as the Aztecs face the Colonials with San Diego State currently listed as a 3 point favorite.

The Aztecs are the second seed and face the fourth seeded Colonials with the winner playing either top seeded Valparaiso or third seed BYU on Thursday night at MSG, which is the site of tonight’s two contests.

The Aztecs enter tonight’s contest off three impressive games, crushing IPFW, (79–55,) Washington, (93–78,) and Georgia Tech, (72–56.) In their win vs. the Yellow Jackets they held them to 33.3% shooting. The Aztecs feature a balanced scoring attack and a stifling defense, allowing opponents an average of 60.5 PPG and holding 12 out of their last 13 foes to 70 points or less.

George Washington enters tonight’s fray off wins vs. Hofstra, (82–80,) Monmouth, (87–71,) and most recently, Florida, (82–77.) Their signature win earlier in the season was defeating number one tournament seeded Virginia

What to Watch For

· The key matchup will be George Washington’s frontcourt, Tyler Cavanaugh and Kevin Larsen. Their dynamic duo will need another productive outing vs. the Aztecs’ trio of Shepard, Skylar Spencer and Malik Pope in order to advance to the finals. I don’t see this happening.

· The Colonials allowed an average of 69.9 PPG when away from home and San Diego State is 26–1 straight up when scoring 67 or more points n a game.

· The Aztecs are 75–40 ATS and +31.0-units after a win by 15 points.

· The Colonials are 8–20 ATS in road games after scoring 80 or more points in two consecutive games.

· San Diego State is 55–36 ATS after playing two consecutive home games.

· From game 16 out, in the past two seasons, George Washington is 4–17 ATS and -14.70-units when playing against teams that outscore their opponents by 4+ points per game.

San Diego State vs George Washington Pick 

My Every Edge offering for this evening is to take the San Diego State Aztecs at –3 points.

miami hurricanes basketball

By Greg Dempson

Miami +4.5 vs Villanova -4.5 T 140 – Pinnacle Sports

This is the first of four Sweet 16 games with the tip time at 7:10 ET at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. The Wildcats easily dispatched of their first two opponents, UNC–Ashville, (86–56,) and then Iowa, (87–68.) Villanova is fast and deep but in this contest it is a step up in class vs. a Hurricanes team that shot better than 55% vs. Wichita State while holding them to 33.8% shooting from the field including 6 of 22 when shooting 3’s.

Villanova likes to shoot the 3, but only hit 35.1% from beyond the arc for the season. Miami is good defensively vs. teams that attempt numerous 3’s per game as they allowed only 5.9 per contest while holding teams to attempting an average of only 17.5 per game. Villanova has shot 57% or more in their last two games.

Keys to the Game

· The sparkplug for the Hurricanes is 5’ 11” Angel Rodriguez who has 52 points in Miami’s first two games. The Hurricanes have four starters that score double-digits and their defense allowed an average of 63.7 PPG on the season. The keys to Miami’s success will be Rodriguez being efficient as well as taking care of the ball plus they need better production from is Center Tonye Jekiri, (7.8 PPG, 8.7 RPG and 1.0 BPG). Jekiri has been non-existent in the tournament, averaging just 3.5 PPG and 5.0 RPG over the first two contests.

· The key to the Wildcats’ success will be the play of Guard Ryan Arcidiacono, (12.0 PPG, 4.4 APG, 1.4 SPG.) He’s averaging 15.0 PPG and 4.0 APG throughout the tournament thus far, and he was an impressive 10-for-15 from the floor as well as 6 of 9 from beyond the arc in their first two games. The Wildcats averaged 75.2 PPG on the road while allowing an average of 70.1 per game.

Angles and Systems

· Miami is18–06 ATS and +11.4-units after a game where they made 55% or more of their shots.

· Villanova is 26–49 ATS and -27.90-units in road games after three straight games and committing 14 or less turnovers.

· The Hurricanes are 23–10 when on the road and off an upset win as an underdog.

· Head coach Wright/Team are Wright is 9–20 ATS and -13.0-units after two straight games where they made 50% or more of their shots.

· Head coach Larranaga/Team is 20–7 ATS and +12.30-units after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots.

· From game 16 out, play on an underdog in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams, making 73% or more free throws per game, a good ball handling team allowing 14.5 or less turnovers per contest when playing against a poor pressure defense that forces 14.5 or less turnovers per game. This system is 165–106 = 61% ATS the past five seasons.

Miami vs Villanova Pick 

My Sweet 16 Every Edge Thursday night selection is on the Miami Hurricanes at +5 points at –118.

No ball sharing!

No ball sharing!

 By Greg Dempson

Washington Huskies +5.5 vs San Diego St. Aztecs -5.5 Total 148.5 – Pinnacle Sports

Tip time is 11:30 ET on ESPN2 as the #3 seeded Washington Huskies, (who are still playing, only it’s not the big dance but the NIT,) travel to San Diego to take on the #2 seeded Aztecs in a second round match-up. The last time these two teams met, the Huskies made NCAA history as they held SD State to the fewest points in a Division 1 game, (36,) holding them to a shooting percentage of 20.4% in a 49–36 home victory on December 7, 2014. This edition of the Huskies has been firing on all cylinders on offense as they recently dispatched of Long Beach State, (107–102.) Dejounte Murray (30 points,) Marquese Chriss (27) and senior guard Andrew Andrews (25) combined for 82 out of their 102 points in their win over the 49ers.

The Aztecs are solid on the boards with the smallest player in their starting line-up at 6’ 4”. They are slightly hindered as Jeremy Hemsley is still not 100% but will play tonight.

From Beyond the Arc

· Washington has scored 72 or more points in 11 out of their last 12 games including 77 vs. the Ducks.

· Rest equates to rust as the Aztecs are only 4–15 ATS and -12.50-units when playing only their second game in eight days the past two seasons.

· The Huskies are 6–0 ATS in road games after two straight games when making 78% or more of their free throws.

· The past two seasons San Diego State is 8–17 ATS and -10.70-units after allowing 25 points or less in the first half in their last game.

· From game 16 out Washington is 8–1 ATS in road games vs. teams who average 6 or less steals per game.

· San Diego State is 9–20 ATS and -13.0-units after a game where they covered the spread the last two seasons. 

Washington vs San Diego State Pick

I anticipate a tightly contested game so I’ll take the points tonight and back the Washington Huskies as my Every Edge Game of the Night. I’m on the Huskies at +6 -117.



march madness

Give it your best shot, the tournament committee didn’t.

 

By EE Sam

Everyedge.com has set up a March Madness Contest and the member with the best score wins $100.00 gift card. We’ve set up a group on Yahoo for Everyedge.com March Madness Bracket Contest.

We are using Yahoo’s default scoring including predicting the score in the National Final.

To join the group, click our link Everyedge.com March Madness and make your predictions. Only 1 bracket per member.

Good Luck! Sam

Everyedge.com March Madness Contest

 

 

bruce-pearl-auburn

I’ll show you the upper hand.

 

By Greg Dempson

Auburn +3.5 (-122) vs Tennessee -3.5 (+107) – Pinnacle Sports

This SEC conference game tips at 8:00 ET at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. The Volunteer faithful must travel just under three hours via ground transportation if they want to watch this match-up live vs. an almost five hour trip for Auburns fans. In their first game this season the Tigers defeated the Volunteers (83–77) at home on January 2 but in the rematch, Auburn, who was extremely shorthanded, was absolutely crushed by Tennessee, (71–45,) in Knoxville on February 9th.

The Tigers are very capable from beyond the arc and actually led the SEC with an average of 8.9 3-pointers made per game. In those first two games Auburn played without T. J. Dunans and I note the Tigers were 7–6 straight up on the season when he was in the line-up, (11.2 PPG,) and 4–13 without him. The Tigers will be without Kareem Canty, (personal reasons.) He was suspended by the team on February 6th and the team went 2–6 straight up without him, (3–5 ATS.)

From the Bench

· The Volunteers will be without Kevin Punter, their leading scorer, (22.2 PPG.) One of the key factors to tonight’s contest will be the status of Robert Hubbs III. He’s averaged 10.4 PPG on the season and scored 20 vs. Auburn in their most recent meeting. Hubbs has a bad knee and if he does go, he most certainly will be hampered. This would mean swingman Armani Moore, averaging 12.0 PPG along with 7.9 rebounds will have to step up. Moore scored only 3 points in their two games vs. Auburn this season.

· Tennessee has lost six out of their last seven games straight up, (2–5 ATS,) with Punter Junior out of the line-up.

· Auburn was 1–1 in Neutral court games this season while Tennessee went 0–3.

· Tennessee is 6–21 ATS and -17.10-units as a favorite the last two seasons.

· The favorite has certainly held the upper hand by since Bruce Pearl became Auburn’s head coach he is 2 – 1 ATS in their last three vs. the Volunteers. The current line is +3.5 when backing the dog and I really want +4, it was +4 for a bit but dropped back to +3.5.

Auburn vs Tennessee Pick

My Every Edge game of the night is a small play on the Auburn Tigers at 3.5 points.

Visit www.gregdempson.com for your handicapping needs.