Maybe we should have taken the week off last week going 1-4 and dropping our totals units to +3 units for the season. The bright spot was our Best Bets hit again and are 3-0. A lot of the big boys are playing cream puffs or have a bye. Our picks this week are no cream puffs, we rather eat them.
We split our college football picks into Leans (1/2 unit to 1 unit), Plays (1.5 to 2 Units) and Best Bets (3 Unit or more).
LEANS (0-5)
Pinnacle Odds: Stanford -3 vs UCLA +3 Total 46.5
Stanford -3 over UCLA – The Cardinals are 9-2 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. And the Bruins have not looked good though their record is 2-1.
Pinnacle Odds: Duke +20.5 vs Notre Dame -20.5 Total 60.5
Under 60.5 Duke/Notre Dame – In a system that has 70% success in the last 10 season, all teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63, and a team, in this case Notre Dame, after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Also Duke is putting up 2 TDs or less against quality opponents.
PLAYS (2-3)
Pinnacle Odds: Army -14 vs Buffalo +14 Total 50
Army -14 over Buffalo – Army running game has been exceptional while Buffalo’s run defence is abysmal. This system is 7-0 vs home underdog after the home team allows 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games.
Pinnacle Odds: Penn State +18.5 vs Michigan -18.5 Total 56
Over 56 Penn St./Michigan – Penn Stare avg 35.3 points per game and Michigan are at 53 points per game. The over might be done by halftime.
BEST BETS (3-0)
Pinnacle Odds: Central Michigan -3 vs Virginia +3 Total 49.5
Central Michigan -3 over Virginia – I have the Chippewas winning by 12 and this home dog is just awful. The Chippewas are a top 20 team and will be by the end of the season.