Iowa v Iowa St.


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The annual battle for the Cy-Hawk trophy takes place in Ames this year w/ both teams coming into the game 1-0. Iowa was unbelievably lucky to win the game last week over a very good UNI team w/ 2 blocked FG's in the last 7 seconds to win the game, while ISU handled North Dakota St @ home last Thurs 34-17. ISU benefited from NDSU fumbling on the 2 yd line, and an INT @ the 10 or the score could have been much closer. The current line is Iowa -6-/45

Iowa struggled on the ground last week running the ball for 2 main reasons. The Oline was w/out starting RT Kyle Calloway who was suspended for the game, and the RB's Paki OMeara and Adam Robinson both seeing their first real game action. Robinson has supplanted O'Meara as the starter, and showed more potential. He averaged a liitle over 5 yds/ carry in the 2nd half last week. QB Ricky Stanzi had a good game last week 22-34 242yds 1 TD 0 INT. He also had a 40 yd TD called back due to a ?able holding call, and 3 other passes were flat out dropped. He was sacked 4 times all in the 1st half, and fumbled on one of the sacks which led to a FG. Iowa's defense gave up nearly 400 yds. offense, but only 16 points. UNI had success through the air as Iowa is w/out its starting CB Prater 2 game suspension, and the replacements were picked upon.

ISU got its new no huddle spread offense rolling last week. New OC from Rice has brought the hurry up to ISU and QB Arnaud had a good game. 227yds passing and 78 yds rushing. He is the key to the ISU attack, and his scrambling ability will be something Iowa must handle. ISU's defense however is their achilles heel. ISU gave up 210 yds rushing last week 5.5/carry. The Clones also gave up 178 through the air on 16 completions.

Notes about the series Iowa has won 4 of the last 6 in the series, but hasn't won in Ames since 2003 40-21.
ISU has covered 9 of the last 10 in the series, usually being DD dogs,. covering last year 13 pt. spread 17-5 as Iowa took a safety on a punt late in the game
ISU has not scored a TD in the last 10 quarters v. Iowa, something I think will change this year.

Both teams should be able to move the ball on offense. ISU will rely on short quick passes and Arnaud on the option mostly, with Iowa trying to establish a running game. You wouldn't think getting a starting tackle back would be a big deal, but Calloway returning is huge. He has started over 30 games @ Iowa and it moves Richardson back to guard replacing either Gettis or Doering in the starting lineup. Stanzi hit TE Moeaki w/ 10 passes last week to keep drives going and he is a big target, something ISU must try to slow down. Weather could be an issue w/ about 40% chance of rain. This game has always been emotionally charged, w/ ISU looking @ it kind of like their Super Bowl. New HC Paul Rhoades is from Iowa and understands the importance of this game for ISU, much like Dan McCarney did.

I think we are looking @ a higher scoring game than we have had in the last 5 years. Both offenses are very capable, and both defenses look to be susceptible. I will play the over 45, and ISU +6-
Iowa 27 ISU 23