The Masters

havana

Well-known member
Sure seems like the course is getting crispy. Hopefully we get Augusta playing firm and fast all week.

Some EW plays that look interesting to me.
Justin Thomas +1050
Rory +1700
Paul Casey +4000
MattFitz +4500

Matchups to come starting with round 2
 

CanadianCoates

Well-known member
Enjoy Augusta Weekend.
I threw in a handful of EW.
Had a nice return on Speith last weekend.

Hughes
Morikawa
Scott
Fleetwood
Z. Johnson
 

havana

Well-known member
Thanks guys...

Making a bunch of plays on round 1 overs. From everything I can gather, Augusta has not played this hard and fast in a while. If these conditions hold up, more likely the winner is an elite player and not a long shot.
 

havana

Well-known member
One more before things get started and sticking with the theme of the course really playing tough.

Winning score over 278
 

havana

Well-known member
The overs were certainly good today. What a round from Justin Rose. Spieth and Hatton both look like guys that are under par did not gain much in the way of strokes gained putting. Bullish on those two.

Round 2 matchups:
HudSwafford +120 over MikeThompson
Xander +105 over Rahm
Bubba +125 over Hovland
MattWallace -130 over Lanto
JT -148 over Finau
Webb -155 over Sergio
SiWoo -109 over CoreyConnors
Tyrrell -148 over BillyHo
Jordy -145 over Morikawa
BrianHarman -143 over IanPoulter
 

havana

Well-known member
BrianGay +108 over JimmyWalker
CTPan +130 over RobMcintyre
DFritelli -105 over MattJones
JimHerman +150 over StewCink

To go with Xander, Bubba, Wallace, Webb and Jordy from above.

Sorry for the changes. Masters does not share strokes gained stats but was able to work with some to get an idea where we are on that
 

havana

Well-known member
3-5-1 today...difference was Hovland going crazy on the back 9. Up some for the week off the 1st round overs. Still have winning score over 278 in play

What a weekend this should be. Rain still does not appear to have fallen...will be interesting to see how the course is set up tomorrow.

Round 3 Matchups:
PaulCasey -167 over IanPoulter
WillyHo -148 over Phil
Charl +116 over HarryEnglish
ShaneLowry +110 over Tommy
Hovland -230 over StewCink
CoreyConnors +106 over ColinMorikawa
SiWoo -135 over CamChamp
Jordy -250 over Bernd
Leish -105 over BHarman

Best Tournament Finishing Position:
Jordy -143 over JT

Fascinating leader board with the top 3 all putting at a likely unsustainable level through 36 holes. Comfortable fading Rose, Zalatoris and Harman tomorrow. This continues to look very promising for Spieth. SiWoo is a longshot that has a legit chance. Actually do not see a great reason to fade anyone from -5 down to -3. Not crazy about Palmer, Smith and Morikawa at -2 but do like CC there. Would not surprise me to see either Bryson or Hovland get right into it from -1. Patrick Reed had a short game disaster today, which is incredibly rare for him. He could get out early and see what a 67 could do for him. If the course remains dry, -7 has a great shot to win this thing.

Splitting some tourney plays up among these
SiWooKim +2800Win/+400T5/+150T10
PatrickReed +550T10/+150T20
CoreyConnors +600T5/+200T10
Xander +225T5
CharlSchwartzel +550T20
JordanSpieth +400Win
 

havana

Well-known member
Very nice day today. 6-2-1 on matchups

Round 4 matchups:
CamChamp +138 over SebastianMunoz
Fitz -129 over Tommy
Charl +140 over MattWallace
SiWoo -130 over Bernd
Finau -195 over RobMc
Leish +102 over Rose
X -148 over Hideki

Still going
Have Jordy with a 4 shot lead over JT

SiWoo is T10 so still alive for T5 and T10. Win certainly unlikely.
Reed is T13 so in the mix for T10/20.
CC is 6 so right there for T5/10
X is T2 looking for T5
Charl is T29 with a shot for T20
Jordy not looking great for the win.

Winning score over 278 looked great until 1 hour of rain.

That one hour of rain completely changed the tournament. Without it, highly likely the lead would be around -6/7 with everyone bunched. But the rain came and made it possible for a Hideki run to spread things out. Will sure be interesting to see how Hideki handles the pressure tomorrow. Would be cool to see him finish this off.
 

havana

Well-known member
Thanks guys.

Kappa - if I was to add any more, it would either be Xander or hideki. If it other top 10 guys, the line would be a good bit more than -120. In that sense, definite value. The hard thing is to get your head around the pressure on Hideki. He is Tiger in Japan. And Xander is a scary guy to have as a chaser. Outside of my bets, I would love to see Hideki pull this off.
 

Seymour24

Well-known member
Good stuff Havy!
I have Connors -115 over Will for today's matchup.
Good luck
 
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Neilrules

Active member
Saw this stat on twitter:

Another Matsuyama stat: He currently ranks T176th on the PGA Tour in Final Round Scoring Performance. In 16 final rounds that he's competed in this season his finish position only improved or remained unchanged 33% of the time.
 

Kappa

Well-known member
Thanks guys.

Kappa - if I was to add any more, it would either be Xander or hideki. If it other top 10 guys, the line would be a good bit more than -120. In that sense, definite value. The hard thing is to get your head around the pressure on Hideki. He is Tiger in Japan. And Xander is a scary guy to have as a chaser. Outside of my bets, I would love to see Hideki pull this off.
Thanks Havy! Yes X is very scary in that final pairing. I think I will lay the juice and take the match up over Hideki and tail you. Will also go with Si Woo and Leish. Thanks and good luck.
 

havana

Well-known member
Just needed to be patient with X - he pulled it out. What a rollercoaster round out of him.

Hit 6-0-1 on the matchups today...got Jordy over JT and nice hits on finishes from Reed, Conners, and X. Si Woo could not quite get at least to T10 and Charl just missed T20.

Now on to Harbor Town!!
 
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