Todays Pucks (Wed Apr 24)

C

cover

Active member
Yesterday 3-6 for -320
Playoffs STD 17-23 for -262

4 plays today, first 3 based on historical numbers only, trying to get the odds in my favor to see if i can win a few games or not.

1) Phily Pick +120
-HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES (CONSIDERING WIN ORDER, CONSIDERING HOME ICE): Ottawa leads LWW@VVH:
-- The team leading LWW@VVH (Ottawa) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through 2001:
*Game 4 record, NHL only, all rounds: 22-32 (.407)
*Game 4 record, NHL only, Prelim round: 5-10 (.333)

2) Phoenix Pick +107
-HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES (IGNORING WIN ORDER, CONSIDERING HOME ICE): San Jose leads 2-games-1, HHV:
--The team leading 2-games-1, HHV (San Jose) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through 2001:
*Game 4 record, NHL only, all rounds: 79-93 (.459)
*Game 4 record, NHL only, Prelim round: 18-33 (.353)

-HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES (CONSIDERING WIN ORDER, CONSIDERING HOME ICE): San Jose leads WLW@HHV:
The team leading WLW@HHV (San Jose) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through 2001:
--Game 4 record, NHL only, Prelim round: 2-8 (.200)

3) Carolina Pick +135
-HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES (CONSIDERING WIN ORDER, CONSIDERING HOME ICE): Carolina tied WWLL@HHVV:
The team tied at WWLL@HHVV (Carolina) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through 2001:
*Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 33-16 (.673)
*Game 5 record, NHL only, Prelim round: 7-5 (.583)

4) Toronto Pick +125 -- Historical numbers go against the Leafs tonite, but call me a homer or not, i see the Leafs bouncing back with a big effort tonite. They usually have bounced back after bad losses in the playoffs in recent years, especially in the early rounds. Cujo will come up big tonite, it'll be a totally different game.

No bad luck
 
thanks cover for your picks. i know how your feeling these days in the playoffs, i just cant get a handle on some of these games. im on every game with you except the phil pk, cant take a team that has only scored one goal in the last three game. like the under on that game. what do you think ???? thngs will turn around for us .

Good Luck Cover
 
hey Cov....I think the Leafs play is good.....homer or not... :)


on the Canes, I would go the other way...I will probably play the Devs -1.5 again....as from what I can see from watching the games and looking at the stats, this series is probably the biggest mismatch of any series so far....Irbe stole 2 games, but the Devs have crushed the Canes almost continuously through the series.....the Canes also now have a serious goaltending disaster on their hands as Irbe looks like he was snapped right out of that string of good play going......I would say that the Devs have been the far superior team in nearly every period of this series...and that is a fact that has to be obvious to the players of both teams...this series could easily be over right now...IMO

anyways...just wanted to throw my thoughts out there as I have been watching this series....Best of Luck to you!!!!!!
 
Cover the best part about your picks today is every team needs a win, with the possible exception of the Leafs, but after last night's game, they will look to rebound, best of luck, hopefully you'll turn it around today.
 
1sob - Where hockey is concerned right now, iam not sure i know how to think. Until i get my thought process straightened out, better to ask someone else. Will say 4.5 totals have now played to the Under 13-3 since the start of the playoffs.

havana - Canes outplayed Devils for two and half periods in Game 4, but it was 2-0 NJ before that happened. Hopefully homeice makes a difference tonite.

Fly - You are probably about 80% correct. :) God's team wins this one tonite.
 
Considering I've got a nice future on them at 20-1, I hope so. But I'm passing the whole card tonight other than the Yotes. I just have a feeling about them. Also played the home teams -120 for 1/2 unit.
 
Good luck cover tonight! And thanks for many many great plays. I've got many great tips and I count your opinion in my games. Very good effort! Last night was bad but sh*t happens...
Today I played only Toronto. Carolina and Philly look risky...
 
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