In a rare Wednesday night College game, Georgia Southern at 3–1 travels to Aransas State to battle the 0–4 Red Wolves. The Eagles are very solid on the ground as they are averaging 321 rushing yards per game, (#4 in the nation,) while Arkansas State allows almost 500 yards per game including 329 on the ground.
In their three games vs. Division 1 teams the Red Wolves trailed (21–03) at half time when hosting Toledo, then Arkansas State trailed at Auburn, (38–07) and, at half-time, when playing at Utah State, (24–00.)
- Georgia Southern is 6–2 ATS in their last eight road games while Arkansas State is 3–8 ATS in their last 11.
- The Red Wolves are 11–25 ATS and -16.50-units vs. good rushing teams, (SUCH AS Georgia Southern,) that are averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry.
- In the first half, play against a winless team when they’re playing a conference foe, (applies to playing against Arkansas State.) This system is 21–06 = 78% ATS the past three seasons, 47–16 = 75% ATS the past five seasons and 3–0 ATS this season. The average line in this system was –6.5 vs. an average margin of victory of 11.4 first half points.
- Play on conference road favorites in the first half that rush for an average of 4.8 or more yards per game when playing against a terrible rushing team that averages 3 or less yards per rush. This system is 16–04 = 80% ATS the past three seasons as well as 27–07 = 79% ATS the past five seasons.