2012 Kentucky Derby Odds, Betting Strategy

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The first leg of this year’s US Triple Crown goes Saturday at Churchill Downs race track in Louisville, Kentucky. Post positions will be drawn this evening but sportsbooks have already posted their 2012 Kentucky Derby odds on the race and we sort through the field with betting tips to help with early picks


They say it’s the most exciting two minutes in sports and Saturday, the 138th Run for the Roses will give sports betting types across the globe a good reason to yell at the TV with a Mint Julep in hand!

Union Rags (+436) has slipped into the early favorite’s role and given his early futures value of 3 to 1 odds; it might not be a bad play. Trainers say he’s taken nicely to the track this week and Union Rags was second to Hansen (+1486) here in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. A disappointing third place finish at the Florida Derby has some bettors skeptical but jockey Julien Leparoux is confident.


Take Charge Indy (+1678) was first in Florida and with Calvin Borel in charge, watch the odds on this horse to make a freefall with the right post. Borel rode Mine That Bird to a win in 2009 as a 50 to 1 longshot and backed it up with another trot to the winner’s circle in 2010 atop Super Saver.


Borel was 10th last year on Twice the Appeal and odds dipped from 15- down to 12 to 1 throughout the week leading up. The point is that if you are going to bet the jockey, you are probably better off grabbing the three-time Kentucky Derby champ soon rather than later.



The top horses at online sportsbooks are heavy chalk for a reason and they will receive the most attention this week from media but it’s always a good idea during Triple Crown betting to remember that favorites do not win every race. In fact the sometimes don’t even show.


In 2011, the favorite Nehro (6/1) did come second but Archarcharch (10/1) and Midnight Interlude (10/1) finished 15th and 16th respectively.


The winner, Animal Kingdom, was posted throughout the week with odds of 30 to 1 from the 16th post and as we mentioned above, Mine that Bird in 2009 was hardly a blip on the radar.


Betting Tip: Pay attention to the workouts at Churchill Downs this week, check the weather forecast and do some homework. Horses that have run this track before are always worth an extra look.



Kentucky Derby post position draws will be held Wednesday at 5 pm ET and although horse racing experts will tell you that the Derby is not going to be won according to post position, it can most certainly be lost there. Here’s an inside look at the odds from Pinnacle Sports before the post positions. Check Pinnacle daily for updates


Who will Win The Kentucky Derby 2012?

1001 Bodemeister +509

1002 Union Rags +436

1003 Dullahan +1017

1004 Gemologist +783

1005 Creative Cause +1152

1006 I’ll Have Another +1424

1007 Alpha +1728

1008 Daddy Nose Best +1627

1009 Daddy Long Legs +2338

1010 Take Charge Indy +1678

1011 Hansen +1486

1012 El Padrino +2032

1014 Went The Day Well +2540

1015 Done Talking +2032

1016 Trinniberg +2540

1019 Sabercat +3455

1022 Liaison +4063

1023 Russian Greek +4063

1024 Prospective +4572

1025 Howe Great +4063

1026 Optimizer +4063

1027 Rousing Sermon +5081


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