by Greg Dempson
The Wizards are hoping that home court will help put a dent into their 0-2 series record vs. the Celtics when the ball tips at 8:00 ET tonight on ESPN at the Verizon Center. Washington opened as 5 point chalk and the number is currently -6 while the total is seeing some downward movement as it opened at 219.5 and is currently at 218. With an offering of 40 points by John Wall which was also supported by his 13 assists, 3 steals and three blocks; that was indeed a gaudy performance but still was not enough as Isaiah Thomas was unstoppable, as he scored 53 points in game two. The Celtics were trailing 110-104, with 2:43 remaining in the fourth, and found a way to win in OT, (129-119.) Boston is on a 10-03 ATS streak vs. Washington the past three seasons
From a statistical point of view here are some first half and full game offerings.
First Half Systems
· From game 43 out, following three consecutive wins by 10 or more points, play teams with a points differential of +3 to +7 points per game, (applies to the Celtics,) to stay UNDER the total in the first half when facing a foe that has a points per game differential of + or -3 points. This system is 37-73 = 66% to the under since 1996 as well as 3-9 to the under the past three seasons.
· When leading in a playoff series, play against road teams in the first half. This system is 12-07 ATS this season as well as 342-241 = 59% ATS since 1966 an +76.90-units.
· Here is a “Catch 22” system, play on first half favorites of -2 to -5.5 points after two or more consecutive losses vs. an opponent that’s off two or more consecutive wins. This system is 83-43 = 66% ATS the past five seasons.
· When revenging a road loss to an opponent by 10 or more points, play on all home teams in the first half when they’re off two consecutive road losses by 10 or more points. This system is 46-21 = 69% ATS the past five seasons.
Full Game System
· After scoring 110 or more points per game in three consecutive games, play against favorites in a game involving two horrible defensive teams that each allow 102 or more points per game. This system is 89-50 = 64% ATS since 1996 when playing against the Wizards.
With Stephen Curry being questionable for tonight is it wise to lay 12 points? He sat out practice on Wednesday and while he isn’t 100% since it is the post season, gimpy ankle or not, I’m positive that he will play. The Jazz took the same amount of shots as the Warriors did in game one, (82,) but where they fell short was in the turnovers department as Utah had 14 vs. 7 for Golden State. Game one went to the Warriors, (106-94,) as the host team won but did not cover the 13 points. Tonight’s line is -12.5 with the total pegged at 204.5 as of this update. The Warriors are 5-2 ATS when hosting the Jazz in their last seven and six out of those seven games have stayed under the total.
First Half Systems
· After one or more consecutive wins an playing three games or less in 10 days, play against home favorites in the first half. This system is 16-10 ATS this season as well as 71-34 = 68% ATS the past five seasons.
· When the first half total is between 100.5 to 105.5 points, play good shooting 3 point teams, (averaging 36.5% or more to stay under when facing a foe that has an average 3 point defense allowing 33 to 36.5%. This system is 348-477 = 58% to the under in the first half with a profit of +94.20-units.
Full Game System
· Play against all teams when leading in a playoff series that are winning 75% or more of their games on the season when playing against a good team that’s winning between 60% to 75% of their games. This system is 31-09 = 77.5% ATS since 1996. This is the first time this system is live this year and in previous playoffs it has a record of 6-2 = 75% ATS the past five seasons.