NBA Pick – San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Pelicans

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Pinnacle Odds: San Antonio Spurs -7 at New Orleans Pelicans +7 Total 207.5

by Greg Dempson

Perhaps the Spurs should change their name to the “Road Warriors” as they once again take to the road to face the Pelicans at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans with the tip time set for 9:30 on ESPN. This will be San Antonio’s ninth road game in their past 10 contests, (as a one point straight up none cover win vs. the Pacers,) was sandwiched in between their annual 6-2 “Rodeo Trip.”

The Spurs are closing in on Golden State for the top seed as the Warriors lost last night in Chicago and star forward Kevin Durant is expected to be out for approximately four weeks with a knee injury. The Spurs are 26-7 straight up away from home as well as 23-12-1 ATS and they should have Tony Parker in the line-up this evening.

The Pelicans have yet to win a game with their new acquisition, DeMarcus Cousins, however he’s averaged 23.3 points and 12.7 rebounds in his first three games since being acquired from Sacramento but they have lost at home vs. the Rockets and on the road at Dallas and Oklahoma .

Cousins was suspended for one game without pay for receiving his 18th technical foul of the 2016-17 season at Oklahoma City in their loss, (118-110,) to the Thunder. He missed their game vs. the Pistons, a (109-86) home victory for New Orleans.

At home this season the Pelicans are 15-16 straight up and ATS. New Orleans won their last meeting when hosting the Spurs, (119-103,) on January 27 when getting +7.5 points. The Pelicans are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 ATS in the past three seasons when hosting San Antonio so I am looking at the O/U in this contest.

Moving On Up

  • The Pelicans are 23-12 to the OVER as a home underdog the last two seasons.
  • San Antonio is 15-7 to the OVER this season after three or more consecutive wins.
  • New Orleans is 24-09 to the OVER in home games after playing a home game the last two seasons.
  • The Spurs are9-3 to the OVER in their last 12 games when playing against a team with a winning percentage that is below .400.
  • The Pelicans are 12-1 to the OVER in home games after a win by 10 points or more the last two seasons.

Super Systems

  • When a top level team, (winning 75% or more of their games,) is playing five games of less in 14 days, play the game to sail over the total. This system is 34-11 = 76% to the over since 1996.

Every Edge in Review 

  • I still sit at 5-7 ATS with my wagered on College and NBA games here at Every Edge.

NBA Pick

My selection for this evening is a top opinion on San Antonio and New Orleans to sail over the total of 207.