NFL Week 10 Odds and Trends – Return of the Big Dogs

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cleveland browns

By Everyedge

NFL WEEK 10 Odds

The NFL Week 10 odds are up and there are a couple of big double digit spreads and a former Super Bowl rematch.

Week 10 has 14 games and there are only 3 home dogs: Jaguars +1.5, Titans +2.5, and Bucs +1. The two big double digit dogs this week are Browns +10 visiting Baltimore and the 49ers are +13.5  vs Arizona. Bookmakers must be thinking that these are the 2015 Cardinals.

The game of the week is the New England Patriots -7.5 hosting the Seattle Seahawks who are coming off a short week travelling out East. The NFL sure do not like the Seahawks.

Byes this week: BILLS, LIONS, COLTS, RAIDERS

Week 10 Early Odds

Favorite Spread Underdog Total
At Baltimore -10 Cleveland 45
Houston -1.5 At Jacksonville 42.5
At Carolina -3 Kansas City 44
At New Orleans -1.5 Denver 49
At NY Jets -2 Los Angeles 39.5
At Philadelphia -1 Atlanta 49.5
At Washington -2.5 Minnesota 42
Green Bay -2.5 At Tennessee 49.5
Chicago -1 At Tampa Bay 45
At San Diego -3.5 Miami 48
At Arizona -13.5 San Francisco 48.5
At Pittsburgh -2 Dallas 50
At New England -7.5 Seattle 48.5
At NY Giants -2.5 Cincinnati 47

WEEK 10 TREND SETTER – Pick Sixty Sports

As I was preparing this week’s look-ahead trends on Monday, I was listening to a NFL news report out of Seattle talking about the status of Bills RB LeSean McCoy. Analysts were speculating on how effective he would be, the backup plan if McCoy struggled, not to mention the impact Percy Harvin was going to have. Literally, things they could have no hope of knowing unless they were text buddies with Rex Ryan.

Buffalo has rushed for more than 130 yards five of eight times this year, with or without Shady in the lineup and the feature back has eclipsed the 130-mark twice on his own. Now I don’t know the results from Monday but when looking ahead to Week 10, consider the record for road teams this year that rush for 130-plus yards: 23-8-1 ATS and 21-10-1 O/U

Here is a look at some of the early Week 10 NFL odds. Each game features at least one team currently ranked in the top 10 for rushing.

Kansas City travels to Carolina (116 RYPG) (-3 and O/U 44)

The early word is that QB Alex Smith (concussion) will return after missing the win over Jacksonville. Note that non-conference road teams off a home win vs. lesser competition are 17-7 O/U in this spot since 2012.

Cowboys (165 RYPG) at Steelers (-2.5 and O/U 49.5)

It’s a sure bet that Pittsburgh’s offense will have have their clocks fixed for this game after sleeping through the first-half vs. Baltimore. The past 20 years, Pittsburgh is 13-1 O/U as a home fave off a road loss of 6-10 points.

Bengals (120 RYPG) at Giants (-2.5 and O/U 47)

Cinci is back on the mainland after an overseas tie against Washington and road teams off a bye that played a shootout before their break are only 6-13-1 ATS. The average line in these games was +4 and the smaller dogs did a little better, but when the home team (Giants) was off win, our road warrior’s record is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS.

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