By Bet Punk
The NFL Week 5 Odds has one double digit favourite and to boot is on the road, and you guess it, Tom Brady is back! The New England Patriots are the big favourite and no surprise that the Browns are the big dog this week.
Only 3 home dogs open up NFL Week 5 with the aforementioned Patriots -10, Cardinals -2.5 and the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles -2.5.
Byes this week: JAGUARS, CHIEFS, SAINTS, SEAHAWKS
NFL Week 5 Odds
|Arizona||-2.5||At San Francisco||42|
|New England||-10||At Cleveland||47|
|At Pittsburgh||-7||NY Jets||48.5|
|At Los Angeles||-3||Buffalo||40|
|At Oakland||-4.5||San Diego||50|
|At Green Bay||-7||NY Giants||48|
|At Carolina||-6||Tampa Bay||Off|
TREND SETTER: WEEK 5 LOOK-AHEAD – Pick Sixty Sports
Tom Brady is back in the mix this week and it couldn’t come a moment too soon for a Patriots team reeling off a divisional shutout loss to Buffalo. Actually, the Pats are 3-1 and the only who should really be concerned about Sunday’s 16-0 loss to the Bills is Cleveland.
The Browns have given scares to Miami and Washington in recent weeks but they are 10-point dogs against the Pats. Since league realignment in 2002, the record for winless double-digit home dogs (beyond Week 1) is 1-13 SU and 4-10 ATS. 11 of those 14 games went over the total including the past five in a row since 2011. Scoring averages favor the road chalk 36-16 and Bill Belichick has won five of his past six against his former team, going 5-1 O/U.
In non-conference matchups, keep your eye on the line movement this week between the Chicago Bears and Indianapolis Colts (-4.5 and O/U 47.5). The sports database record since 1989 for home faves off a fave loss (Colts) against teams that are off a home dog win (Bears) is 49-11 SU and 34-26 ATS (57-percent). When totals were 43 or more, the record improves to 14-7 ATS with scoring averages of 30-17, right inline with this posted total.
The twist here is that Indianapolis are fresh off a trip to London, England and normally that’s automatic grounds for a bye week. It obviously didn’t fit the league’s scheduling format this year and how Indy reacts is anyone’s guess but chances are, this entire 53-man roster will not be up to full capacity. If you think Chicago’s D can benefit from this advantage over Andrew Luck, consider playing the under. If you feel like it’s the Bear offense that has an advantage here over a 28th ranked Indy D, who could be suffering from jet lag, consider taking the points.
Love betting on a mad Tom Brady and Patriots squad. Don’t care their on the road and laying the points. Love mad Tom Brady.
OFFICE POOL AND SURVIVOR PICKS – Sportsline.com
Sportsline.com every week gives early looks and picks for those in Office and Survivor pools.
Sportsline’s Computer is 39-24 SU and 37-26 ATS this year.
Surprising pick for Week 5? The Computer sure likes those 49ers +2.5 at home vs the Cardinals and the Computer again is going against the Cowboys -0.5. Must be a Tony Romo that Sportsline Computer.