The Eagles were only 4-3 SU/ATS when Bradford threw for more than 270 yards, thanks in part to his 10:10 TD to Interception ratio
A lot of Philadelphia’s off-season centered around the quarterback position and as they head into camp, Sam Bradford is the starter. For now. Chase Daniel is expected to get his fair share of reps in July and second overall pick, Carson Wentz, is learning the game at a pro level. The Eagles get an early bye (Week 4) and then play divisional games in Week’s 6, 8 and 9. If they’re not sitting at .500 or better straight-up by Week 10, don’t be surprised if HC Doug Pederson makes a change.
LAST YEAR’S RECORD & 2016 NFL FUTURES
Win-Loss: 7-9 SU and 7-9 ATS
Over/Under: 8-8 O/U
Noteworthy: The Eagles scored 31 PPG in seven wins but only 18 PPG in nine losses. Their defense allowed 27 PPG on the season (28th).
Odds to Win Super Bowl: 50 to 1
Odds to Win Conference: +2,800
Season Win Total Odds: 7 Over (+110) 7 Under (-140)
Pederson spent the past seven seasons working with Andy Reid in Philadelphia and Kansas City (O-Co) and the Chiefs offense ranked No. 1 in interceptions since 2013. The result was a 31-17 SU record (.646) and two playoff appearances. It helped having a great defense but Pederson understands that when you give your opponents a longer field to work with, they’re going to score fewer points.
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The Eagles defense immediately benefits from Chip Kelly’s departure but they have holes on all three levels. Rodney McLeod and Leodis McKelvin help shore up the secondary but the front seven has to do a better job getting after the QB. The Eagles ranked 25th in sack percentage (5.5) and they were tied for 28th in opponent rushing yards per carry (4.5).
EAGLES BOTTOM LINE: EVERY MINUTE COUNTS
Small road dogs up to +3.5 points that have improved their time of possession by more than three minutes from the previous season have been a solid play the past 10 years, going 41-19-3 ATS (68-percent). Early in the season, Week’s 1 through 5, these road pups have thrived against teams suddenly struggling to maintain possession, going 22-4-3 ATS. Circle Philly’s matchups vs. Chicago (Week 2) and Detroit (Week 5) for potential value on the road dog.