By Greg Dempson
Pinnacle Odds: Arkansas Little Rock +8.5 at Arkansas State -8.5 Total 136.5
This inter-state rivalry tips at 8:30 ET and Arkansas State has been very poor on the road this season both straight up and ATS, going 5–8 straight up and 4–8–1 ATS vs. the number. As for totals the books have posted five Over/Unders and the Trojans are 1–4 to the UNDER with three consecutive unders. They are averaging 67.8 PPG on offense while allowing 72.2 on defense. In Conference play they average 66.6 PPG while allowing 70.5. Their field goal percentage also leaves a lot to be desired as they are ranked #217 while shooting an average of 55.9 shots per game. They are good at the free throw line making 74.4% of their shots.
The Arkansas State is ranked #56 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 46.8% while attempting 55.4 shots per game. They are also 10–0 straight up at home this season and 6–2 ATS. They average 80.2 PPG on offense at home while allowing an average of 64.7. When matched up vs. conference foes they average 72.7 PPG while allowing 68.5 PPG. The Red Wolves are week at the free throw line slightly less than 64% of their attempts.
Totally Up to You
- The Red Wolves are 79–38 to the OVER and +37.20-units after one or more consecutive unders, average combined score of 143.6 PPG.
- As mentioned earlier the Trojans have stayed under the number in three consecutive games following 3 straight unders the Trojans have a tendency to sail over the total going 15–05 to the over averaging a combined 140.8 PPG.
- Arkansas State is also 39–18 to the OVER and +19.20-units after scoring 60 points or less with an average combined score of 140.4 PPG.
- Arkansas Little–Rock is 8–1 to the OVER and +6.90-units after a loss by 10 points or more with a combined score of 138.8 PPG.
- The Red Wolves are 11–03 to the OVER and +7.70-units after 2 straight games when forcing an opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers with an average combine score of 143 PPG.
Every Edge in Review
- The College plays have started out miserably at 1–5 ATS while the NBA is a respectable 3–1 ATS, (4–6 combined.) Tonight’s total opened at 135 and then jumped up to 136.5 before betters have now bet the number down to 133.5 as of this report.
College Basketball Pick
I have a top opinion on this game to sail over the total of 133.5, mark me down for a small beer and pizza wager wager.