By Greg Dempson
Bodog – Seattle Mariners +100 vs Baltimore Orioles -110 Total 8 O-110/U-110
Last night the Mariners shutout the Orioles convincingly in the first contest of this three game series at Camden Yards, blanking Baltimore in a 10–0 rout. At this early juncture of the season Seattle has more wins when away from home, (14–6,) vs. an overall record of 22–16. Tonight they send Taijuan Walker to the mound while Baltimore counters with Chris Tillman. Can Seattle sustain their winning ways when away from home?
Give Me Your Best Pitch
· Walker has pitched well in 7 starts this season going 2–2 with an ERA of 2.63. He’s slipped of late however going 0–2 in his last three starts with an ERA of 4.97. In his two starts vs. the Orioles last season, Walker was 1–1 and featured a bloated ERA of 5.58 with a WHIP of 1.758 through 9.7 innings. He allowed 6 earned runs on 12 hits while striking out 9 and walking 5. He was pounded in his lone start at Baltimore last season allowing 4 earned runs in 3.7 innings in a 9–4 loss.
· Chris Tillman takes the mound for the Orioles, Tillman was shelled last season at Seattle as he allowed 5 runs and 8 hits in 2.2 innings in a 6–5 extra inning loss. Lifetime Tillman is 6–0 vs. Seattle, (team is 7–1 when he starts.)
· Tillman, who was originally drafted by the Mariners in 2006, has an ERA of 2.98, and a WHIP of 1.015. Tillman has been lights out since his loss in Texas on April 14th. Since that 6–3 defeat, his record is 4–0 in his last 5 starts and backed by an ERA of 1.64 ERA while striking out 36 hitters in 33 innings. Tillman has allowed only 1 home run in 45.3 innings this season.
Money Line
· Baltimore is 14–2 vs. the money line when they are favored between –100 to –150 this season.
· Seattle is -24.90-units the past two seasons when the total is between 7 to 8.5 runs.
· The Orioles/Tillman are 10–1 vs. the money line when he starts at home and facing poor base running teams that average 0.5 or less stolen bases per game in the last two seasons.
· The Mariners are 5–11 in their last 16 meetings at Camden Yards.
· Tonight’s home plate umpire Rob Drake is 12–6 in his last 18 in favor of the home team including 8–3 in his last 11.
· The Mariners are also 5–17 in their last 22 contests when Drake’s calling balls and strikes including 0–5 in their last five contests.
MLB Pick
My Every Edge offering for this evening is on the Baltimore Orioles at –109 on the money line, (when I placed my wager.)
For additional winning selections and systems visit my web site, www.gregdempson.com.