Week 16 NFL System Backs the Big Dogs

week 16 nfl system

The Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks are “live” in our 69-percent ATS system!

By Pick Sixty Sports

It seems there is no end to the creative methods people will come up with looking for ways to validate their support for the worst team in football. That’s right Cleveland, we’re looking directly at you.

From the ‘Teams on a 3-game losing streak,’ which Cleveland first lost on in Week 3 and is now 1-10 ATS on for the year, to the ‘Winless teams off a bye,’ which thankfully Cleveland could only screw us on once this season. The Browns have made a mockery of the theory that pointspreads are the great equalizer.

For anyone who has still not enough of the hogwash and thinks that perhaps Cleveland is finally ‘due’ in Week 16, we feature a system this week that is 60-percent effective on more than 200 plays. The best part is that it’s actually “live” on three teams this Saturday and the sub-system in our play of the week is hitting 69-percent against the spread.


The Browns are 3-11 ATS on the year and they have cost bettors money in six of the past seven seasons. Here are the most unreliable teams to bet on since 2010.

1. Titans: 43

2. Browns: 46

3. Jaguars: 48

4. Eagles: 48

5. Bears: 49

6. Rams: 49

Play of the Week: Cardinals at Seahawks

Odds: Seattle -8 and O/U 43.5

The Cardinals (5-8-1) came out on the short end of an 89-point shootout with New Orleans last week and the ATS loss puts Arizona at 4-10 ATS on the year. They tied their first meeting with Seattle, 6-6 in Week 7, and since then the Cards are just 1-7 ATS.

NFL teams with less than two covers in their past eight games are 126-85-8 ATS since 1989 and when dogs in this profile are getting more than touchdowns, they are 45-20-1 ATS (69%). Arizona, Cleveland and Los Angeles fit the first part of the profile and in their biggest underdog role since 2014, the Cards also fit the subset.

Seattle’s home record against the division is 18-5-1 ATS since 2009 but they’re only 4-3 SU/ATS  when hosting Arizona in that span. Divisional totals are 6-17-1 O/U, with games averaging just 36.5 points, and it can be pretty tough covering 8-point lines in a lower scoring game. The three games vs. Arizona with a total of 43 or more, Seattle went 0-3 SU/ATS and they were favored each time.

The Hawks dominated Los Angeles last week and although the Cards are bad this year, they are nowhere near the bottom of this division. The record for divisional home teams off a divisional win (Seahawks) since 2000 is 90-126-5 ATS including a 14-30 ATS mark the past four seasons. Seattle was also home off a disastrous game in Green Bay the previous week. They are still going to be intense as they look to maintain their perfect home record but Arizona is coming in here with something to prove and has the talent on either side of the ball to be competitive. For this week’s play, I’m taking all the points I can get.

Everedge Play of the Week: Take the Cardinals

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