MLB Tips and Trends: Mariners at Angels

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Seattle gets a rare opportunity for scoring back-to-back wins against the Los Angeles Angels Tuesday when Garrett Richards fills in for Jared Weaver. Baseball trends looks at the pitching matchup, umpire info and offers a value play on tonight’s MLB odds

 


Beavan may not be able to rely on 21 runs per game but he is getting consistent support on the road

 

The Seattle Mariners had won only one game against the Los Angeles Angels in eight tries heading into Monday’s contest but the bats came alive during this Mariner road trip and tonight they look for back-to-back wins against the Angels for the first time since May 18-19, 2011.

 

Seattle scored 33 runs in a series win at Texas followed by a letdown in Chicago where it was revealed that Felix Hernandez is dealing with back issues. Hector Noesi will start in place of King Felix Wednesday but the opportunity to win this series and move out of the AL West cellar hangs on Blake Beavan (3-4, 4.72 ERA).

 

Beavan is 2-3 on the road and the 21-run salute he received in Texas May 30 has been partially offset by a pair of goose eggs earlier this year. All said, that’s still a generous 6.67 runs per game (RPG) in six road starts. Seattle is 16-19 on the road and this game is offered by online sportsbooks with MLB odds of Angels -148 and 8 OV (-110).

 

Garrett Richards is making his first start of the season for Los Angeles in place of Jered Weaver (back). The right-hander was having a solid campaign with his Triple-A squad and was 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA in three starts last season. Opponents hit .291 against him.

 

NUMBERS GAME

The Angels are 4.5 games back of Texas and just 11-9 vs. the division but they 8-2 the past 10 against the West. Los Angeles has won eight of their past nine starts against right-handers and they are scoring 4.88 RPG.

 

MAN BEHIND THE MASK

Brian Gorman (5-7, 9-3 O/U) has 3 overs and 1 under in the American League this year with a 9.5 RPG average. Dating back to 2011, Gorman has overseen 12 overs and 4 unders in the AL with a 9.4 RPG average. The “Over” is 14-3 in his last 17 starts overall and he’s called 5 overs and 1 under the last six Mariners games.

 

MLB PICKS

Only two of the past eight games between these teams have made it over the total and Los Angeles is 20-35-1 O/U on the year but they’ve started to pick things up the past few weeks. Seattle’s lineup is not getting much respect from baseball odds makers and until adjustments are made, this club could offer good value on the total.

Pick: Take the Over

 

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