Chicago’s first road game this season was one to forget but tonight the Bears will try and get a win against Tony Romo and the Dallas Cowboys. Our Week 4 Monday Night Football betting preview breaks down the matchup with winning systems and a prediction
Bears quarterback Jay Cutler had a passer rating of 28.2 in the loss at Green Bay but his overall mark in road games last season was 80.5
Chicago (2-1 SU/ATS) had an easy time with the St. Louis Rams last week while the Dallas Cowboys (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) got past the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-10 in their Week 3 home opener. The NFL odds for Week 4 Monday Night Football betting favored the Cowboys by three points most of the week with a couple of online betting shops shifting to -3.5 to help protect against public money that often flows toward the favorite on game day.
WEEK 4 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
The Bears had plenty of extra time to prepare for each of its home this year and considering the Colts and Rams’ combined 1-15 straight-up road record in 2011, anything less than a double-digit victory for Chicago would be unacceptable. Their Week 2 stop at Green Bay was a Thursday nighter, it was divisional and the Packers are one of the league’s top teams.
Dallas opened with an impressive win at New York, lost at one of the league’s toughest venues and then after crisscrossing the country, overcame three turnovers to edge the Bucs on a strong defensive effort. The Cowboys have given up just 23 three first-half points this season but they rank 26th with an 8.0 point per game mark on offense and HC Jason Garrett wants to see a better effort from his team out of the gate.
This game marks the third-straight Monday Night Football game where both teams were coming in off a straight-up win. The first two stayed under by 4.5 and 18 points and when you go back to 1989, you see a 25-12-3 ATS record for the home team with 12 overs, 26 unders and 2 pushes if the pointspread is +/-3 points or less.
Sides have been consistently strong since 1989 but totals went through a six-game stretch of overs from 1999-2001. Since 2002, totals in this profile are 2-13 O/U.
The forecast looks good for Dallas tonight and the roof at Cowboys Stadium is scheduled to be open but the noise could still have an impact on Chicago’s offense. The Bears scored 17 points or less in three dome games last season and with DeMarcus Ware coming from the blind side, Cutler should be expecting the worst.
We give Chicago an edge in special teams and the Cowboys will have to pay extra attention to Devin Hester. Romo could also be faced with some long field position but look for Dallas to overcome all its obstacles and win a low scoring game. Pick: Take the Cowboys