Week 12 Monday Night Football: Packers at Eagles

week 12 monday night

Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers was 26 of 41 last week for 351 yards and 3 touchdowns

By Pick Sixty Sports

It’s crunch time for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers as the team tries to snap its longest losing streak since 2008.


Odds: Eagles -3.5 and O/U 47

If you crossed Philadelphia’s first three games of 2016 off the list and focused on their 2-5 straight-up record since, this pointspread would be one of the bigger head scratchers of the weekend. Green Bay has been a road dog 15 times in the past four years and usually its either a playoff game or at least against an opponent with a winning record.

The Packers’ record in those games is 5-10 ATS with 10 overs and 5 unders and the two games this season finished well above total. Week 8 in Atlanta, Green Bay lost 33-32 in the final minute and then last week in Washington, the Pack were burned for 515 yards in a 42-24 blowout.

Washington was the fourth-straight team to smash their projected point total against the crippled  Packer D and conference road dogs off a road loss that have been allowing a ton of points lately are 28-20-1 ATS. Since 2006, that record improves to 16-6 ATS (73%) and the majority of those losers were getting more than a touchdown. Smaller dogs like the Pack have a 9-2 ATS record on an average line of +5.

Playing their third consecutive road game, the Packers are “live” in a system that 29-19 O/U since league realignment and conference games have cashed at a rate of 68-percent over the total. The latest run for these road warriors is 10 overs and 1 under and it is going to take every trick in Mike McCarthy’s bag for the Pack to put up big numbers vs. the tough Philly defense.


The Eagles went 2-3 ATS as a fave laying more than -3 points last year and they were 7-9 ATS overall. This line is the most Philly has been favored by since Week 1 against Cleveland and it activates a solid NFL system that is 66-percent with more than 100 plays the past seven years. In the second-half of the season, the record is 20-10 O/U and it’s riding a hot streak of 8 overs and 1 under where games have finished “Over” the total by an average of more than 15 points.

Philly’s three remaining home games are divisional and this is a chance to prove they are legitimate contenders in the hunt for a Wild Card. Shop for a good line and hit this game to finish in the 50’s.

Pick: Take the Over

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