NBA Picks: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors

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The Lakers have won 10 of their past 12 trips to Golden State and after losing to Memphis, will look to get back on track Tuesday night in the late game


Golden State has covered the spread three games in a row when hosting the Pacific division leader


Los Angeles (30-19) is going through a bit of a rough patch with losses in two of their past three home games but sportsbooks have still favored them tonight by -7 points. The line opened at -6 but the latest numbers show 69-percent of the sports betting public backing the road chalk.


The Lakers are back home to host Oklahoma City on Thursday and this is their sixth true road game of the season surrounded by home dates. So far, the results have not been too good:



Feb. 19, lost by 12 at Suns
Jan. 11, won by 3 at Jazz in OT (covered small 2-point line)
Jan. 5, lost by 11 at Blazers
Jan. 1, lost by 9 at Nuggets
Dec. 26, lost by 9 at Kings


We didn’t count the 8-point “road” loss at the Clippers on Jan. 14, but those other games add up to 1-4 SU/ATS record and the average scoring margin for LA was -7.7 PPG.


The Lakers (7th) have a much better overall scoring margin than Golden State (22nd), but they are better than all those teams and LA’s +2.5 mark is skewed by a +8.4 rating on home court. The Lakers are -3.2 away from Staples Center, which is 16th, and Golden State (-0.7) is pretty much even at home.


LA’s most recent road win at Dallas was by 16 points but before that, LA’s margin of victory in road wins was 6-5-3-5-2-1-4-5-3. That’s a 3.77 point average (34/9) and that covers every single road win the Lakers have posted this season – Not one of those nine was by more than seven points!



Golden State has covered three in a row when hosting the Lakers and although LA did win two of those three straight-up, the wins were by 5 and 3 points. Injuries to Stephen Curry and Nate Robinson could be too much for the Warriors but Charles Jenkins will have to step up.
Pick: Take the Warriors


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