NFL Pick: Seattle Seahawks vs Dallas Cowboys

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Russell Wilson

By Greg Dempson

Seattle Seahawks vs Dallas Cowboys Total 41

Matt Cassel is under center for a second consecutive week and he will be tested by Michael Bennett, who had a career-high 3½ sacks in last Thursday’s 20-3 win at San Francisco. Bennett is tied for the NFL lead with 6½ sacks. Russell Wilson can most certainly relate to the “sack” word as he’s been sacked a league high 31 times which is 13 fewer than his career high total in 2013.
Dez Bryant returns to the Dallas line up today after being injured in week 1 vs. the Giants. Bryant has yet to score vs. Seattle in three games. He’s been targeted 26 times in those three contests catching 11 balls for a combined 156 yards. Seattle’s ground game averages 143.3 yards for the league’s second highest mark and last week Marshawn Lynch rushed for a season high 122 yards on 27 carries at San Francisco after totaling 182 yards in his first four games.
Dallas is ranked seventh in rushing with 127.7 yards per game. Last week Darren McFadden ran for 152 yards after starter Joseph Randle left with a strained back. In last years’ game, at Seattle, Dallas, led by Tony Romo, won 30–23. The Cowboys out-yarded Seattle 401–206 while rushing for 162 yards while Romo tossed 2 touchdowns and throwing for 250 yards

View From the 50 yard Line

· Seattle is 20–08 to the over vs. dominant ball control teams that posses the ball for 32+ minutes while amassing 21+ first downs per game.

· Dallas is 42–16 to the over in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better.

· Play road teams averaging 7.3 or more passing yards per attempt to sail over the total when playing against a poor passing defense, (allowing 6.7-7.3 passing yards per attempt), after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game. This system is 35-12 = 74.5% to the over since 1983 as well as 14-03 to the over the past 10 seasons and 09-00 to the over the previous three seasons.

NFL Pick

With 41 being such a key number when betting overs I’m playing the Seahawks/Cowboys over 41 points –120 as my Every Edge NFL Game of the Week.

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