NFL Pick – St.Louis Rams v Washington Redskins

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rams vs redskinsBy Greg Dempson

St.Louis Rams v Washington Redskins – Total 41

The Rams, fresh off an overtime victory while hosting the Seahawks, travel to FedEx Field to take on the Redskins. Nick Foles was 18 of 27 for 297 yards and one touchdown in his Rams debut. Foles went 2-2 as a starter against Washington when he played for the Eagles. Last season the Rams, (without Foles,) manhandled the Redskins at FedEx Field, (24–00.)

In last week’s game vs. the Seahawks, (34–31,) for St. Louis, the final score was a little misleading with regards to pure offense as there were three special teams touchdowns. Without those special teams’ scores a final of 44 combined points was obviously a lot closer to the O/U of 41.

Washington will be short handed on offense as receiver DeSean Jackson (hamstring) is out for 3 to 4 weeks and tight end Jordan Reed (quadriceps) is listed as questionable. He had seven catches last week vs. Miami for 63 yards including a touchdown. Washington handed the ball to RB Alfred Morris 25 times vs. the Dolphins and he responded with 121 rushing yards. The Redskins defense played well enough holding Miami to only 256 but they were done in by their special teams, (ranked #29,) as Jarvis Landry returned a punt 69 yards for a touchdown.

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View From the 50 Yard Line

– The Rams are 3–8 to the under in their last 11 road games.

– These two teams have a history of staying under the total as they are 3–7 to the under in their last 10 have played under the number including the last four games played in Washington, (average combined scores of 28.3 points.)

– The Rams are 2–6 to the under in their first road game and 1–8 to the under when off a home dog win.

– Washington is 45–73 and +23.50-units to the under when an underdog of +3.5 to +9.5 points.

– The Rams are 11–24 to the under when away and the O/U is between 38.5 and 42 points.

– Cousins is 1–4 to the under when a home dog.

– The Redskins are 2–5 to the under before a Thursday night game.

– St. Louis is 0–5 to the under when away from home and playing an opponent with a losing straight up record.

– Foles is 1–3 to the under in his four career games vs. the Redskins.

– Rams head coach Fisher is 6–16 to the under in their next game when off a straight up underdog win with an average combined score of 36 PPG.

– Redskins head coach Gruden was 1–4 to the under at home in his inaugural season vs. non division opponents.

– After scoring 30 or more points, the Rams are 4–10 to the under in their next game.

– In somewhat of an oddity, when NFC-East teams play NFC-West opponents, these games are on an amazing under streak of 1–15–1 to the under.

NFL Pick:

My EveryEdge NFL Game of the Week is for the St. Louis Rams and Washington Redskins to stay under the total of 41 points.

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