NFL Week 12 Odds and Trends

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By Everyedge


The NFL Week 12 odds are up and its US Thanksgiving this week! Three big games this Thursday and all have playoff ramifications.  First up is Lions -2.5 hosting Vikings for a battle for the top of NFC North. Next up is the hottest team in the NFL, Cowboys -7 vs their NFC East nemesis, the second hottest team, Redskins.

Last up, the Colts +3 are a home dog vs the Steelers. Both need a win to keep their playoff aspirations.

Week 12 has 16 games with all teams playing. Lots for bettors to choose. Home dogs this week – Colts +3, Bucs +5.5, Bears +3 and Jets +8.

Week 12 Early Odds

Favorite Spread Underdog Total
At Detroit    -2.5 Minnesota 43
At Dallas    -7 Washington 51
Pittsburgh    -3 At Indianapolis 54
At Houston     PK San Diego 45.5
Tennessee    -3 At Chicago 43.5
At Buffalo    -7 Jacksonville 45.5
At Baltimore    -4.5 Cincinnati 41
At Atlanta    -4 Arizona 50.5
At Miami    -7.5 San Francisco 45.5
At New Orleans    -7 Los Angeles 46
NY Giants    -7 At Cleveland 44.5
Seattle    -5.5 At Tampa Bay 45
At Oakland    -4 Carolina 50.5
At Denver    -3.5 Kansas City 39.5
New England    -8 At NY Jets 47
At Philadelphia    -4 Green Bay 47.5

Here is a look at some of early Week 12 NFL odds with trends that are helping shape the line.


During the first 10 weeks of this year’s NFL season there was a total of 36 missed converts, or 3.6 per week. Apparently somebody spiked the specially marked ‘kicker punch’ in locker rooms across the nation Sunday, because a record-setting 12 singles were either missed, blocked or just botched.

That’s one shy of the per season average (playoffs included) from 2001-14 so for this week’s look-ahead feature we tried to identify trends for teams following a game where they missed an extra point.


The teams that missed an extra point Sunday were the Redskins, Lions, Vikings, Bears, Jags, Browns, Seahawks and Patriots. Cincy’s Mike Nugent and new Giants kicker Robbie Gould missed two apiece and we’ll start with them.

Cincy is at Baltimore (-4, O/U 41) this week and the Giants (-7, O/U 44.5) are at Cleveland. Only four teams since 2001 have missed two extra points in one game and those four teams went 3-1 SU/ATS the next time out.

Favorites that missed an extra point in 2015, which was the first year with snaps from the 15-yard line, bounced back with a 24-4 SU and 19-8-1 ATS record. That trend applies to Detroit (-3, 42.5), Seattle (-5, 45) and New England (-8.5, 47), who are laying points against the Vikes, Bucs and Jets respectively. Also note that teasing those teams in a 10-pointer went 27-1.

For dogs you’ll want to track this trend between Jacksonville and Buffalo (-7, 45.5). Pups getting at least a TD off a game where they missed an extra point are 4-21 O/U (84% UNDER) with any total between 37 and 47 points. This also applies to the Browns, who are hosting the Giants.

Good luck and happy U.S. Thanksgiving from Pick Sixty Sports!