Pinnacle Odds: Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators
by Greg Dempson
The puck drops at 3:30 ET at the Canadian Tire Centre as the Boston Bruins attempt to head home up 2-0 in the series vs. the Senators after winning game one, (2-1.) Ottawa played great defensively in the first game as they held the Bruins to zero shots on goal in the second period. Their problems have been finding the back of the next as the Senators have scored only 16 goals in their last 29 games for an average goals per game of 1.81. That number of 1.81 is significant as the Bruins are also 05-30 to the under this season when they can hold their opponent to 2 or less goals in a game.
I anticipate another low scoring game as once again Boston will be without David Krejci. Rask has started in 48 playoff games and his GAA is 2.09 backed by a save percentage of 93.0%. Ottawa’s number one goalie Anderson has started in 27 playoff games and his GAA is 2.33 while his save percentage is 93.3%.
Under Angles
- The Senators are 01-13 to the UNDER when playing against good power play killing teams that hold their opponents to 14.5% or less of their scoring chances this season.
- Ottawa is 1 for 21 in their last eight games on the power play and they’ve failed in their last 13 power-play chances.
- These two teams are 2-5 to the UNDER in their last seven games played in Ottawa.
- Rask is 0-3-1 to the UNDER in his last four starts while Anderson is 0-4 to the UNDER in his last four games.
- Ottawa is 26-47 to the UNDER in the first round of the playoffs since 1996 and +18.70-units.
- The Bruins are 0-6 to the under in Saturday road games this season and 17-35-07 to the under in their last 59 games played on Saturday.
- The Senators are 06-17 in Saturday home games the past two seasons.
- Boston is 07-17 to the under the past two seasons when off a division road game.
- Ottawa is 05-11 to the under at home this season when the O/U is 5 goals or less.
- The Bruins are 00-20 to the under this season when both teams score 2 or less goals.
- Ottawa is 15-35-01 to the UNDER in their last 51 home games.
Heading South of the Total
- In the month of April, and following a road win, play all road teams under the total when the over/under is 5 goals or less. This system is 89-134 = 60% to the under since 1996 and +42.30-units as well as 21-40 to the UNDER the past five seasons and +18.20-units.
Every edge in Review
- I lost the under in the Rangers/Canadiens game and the post season is 0-1 and -1.20-units.