By Greg Dempson
The puck drops at 8:00 ET at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville and it’s a game that Nashville must to win to force a game 7. After back to back (3–2,) road wins in games 1 and 2 at the Staples Center the Predators now trail 3–2 in the series.
There are two reasons for this turnaround, one is Fredrik Andersen and the other reason is balanced scoring by Anaheim, they have more contributors and depth in their line-up than Nashville has. As the series progresses, even with a day off between contests, the wear and tear becomes a factor, if you’re rotating a shorter line-up fatigue equates to mistakes.
I anticipate Nashville to give Andersen a good dose of aggressive play, (without crossing the line,) to try and get him off his game. Since Andersen replaced Gibson he’s allowed 3 goals in three contests stopping 84 of 87 shots while boasting a save percentage of 96.6%.
In his last 25 starts Andersen has lost one game in regulation time. His exceptional goaltending has offset the Ducks’ power play woes, (which was #1 during the regular season,) as the Ducks are 2 for 19 with the man advantage while holding the Predators to 1 goal on their 22 power play opportunities.
Record in Review
· I sent yesterday’s NBA pick out on the over at 198.5 in the Cavaliers/Pistons game and personally got 198, (that total of 198 was available at every out I have.) Some of my clients won with the total of over 197.5, while the rest pushed n 198, not one of them had the over at 198.5. If you bet the game over I hope you won or as a worst case scenario, got a push.
· However since I sent it out at 198.5, I’ll count it as a loss, (0–3 ATS.) As mentioned earlier, the only number that counts in the long run is the line you get when you confirm your wager.
· My NHL Playoff record is 3–0–2 as I aim for win number four this evening.
The Net Result
· When the Predators are trailing, (3–2,) in a playoff series, they are 0–8 overall in a best of 7 series. Nashville has also lost 4 of their last 6 playoff home games scoring only 4 goals in those six contests.
· The past three seasons the Ducks are 41–19 in road games when playing vs. a team with a losing record, (Predators are 43–44 this season.)
· Nashville is 19–34 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season the last two seasons.
· The Ducks are +60.80-units in road games vs. teams that average 29 or more shots on goal and convert on17% or more of their power play opportunities in the last three seasons.
· With the Ducks having five players with at least 2 goals in the series and a hot goaltender plus momentum, I like the road team to close out the series tonight.
My Every Edge selection for tonight is on the Anaheim Ducks at –105 on the money line, (when I bet the game.) I see the M/L is now –116.