by Greg Dempson
The Edmonton Oilers regained their home ice advantage with a 1-0 win at San Jose in game three and now lead the best of seven series two games to one. None of the three games have exceeded tonight’s posted total of 5 goals with only the first game pushed at 5 combined goals while games two resulted in a score of (2-1) and as mentioned, game three went to Edmonton, (1-0.) Cam Talbot has been the difference maker posting back-to-back shutouts and I am riding the hot goalie by backing the under again this evening.
· This season Edmonton is 07-15 to the UNDER vs. good defensive teams that have allowed an average of 2.55 or less goals per game.
· The Sharks are 09-25-17 to the under vs. Pacific Conference teams.
· The Oilers are 07-15-05 to the under vs. pacific Conference foes.
· San Jose is 11-30-13 to the UNDER when their opponent allowed 2 or less goals in their previous game.
· Edmonton is 2-9-2 to the under in their last 13 road games when playing a team with a winning home record of greater than .600.
· The Sharks are 09-18 to the under this season vs. excellent power play teams that score on more than 19% of their chances.
· Following a road win whereby their shutout their opponent, (Edmonton won 1-0 at San Jose,) play that road team under the total in their next game as long as they are winning between 51% to 60% of their games on the season. This system is 13-33 = 72% to the under the past five seasons.
· Play any team that starts quick in the first period, (outscoring opponents on average by 0.2+ first period goals,) to stay UNDER the full game total after scoring 1 goal or less in two consecutive games. This system is 31-63 = 67% to the under the past five seasons.
Everyedge.com in Review
· I’m off to a 0-2 start with my Every Edge NHL selections for -2.3 units.