Tuesday Baseball Trends & Angles

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By Greg Dempson

I didn’t find anything I was willing to wager on so let’s go with another set of baseball trends, angles and a system. If the juice was lower on over 9 runs in the Rockies/Yankees game, I would have bitten on the over.  If the total was 9.5 in the Angles/Astros game, I would have played the under. However such is not the case so once again, here are numerous angles plus a MLB system. I do believe these angles went 6–3 yesterday and the system on the Dodgers at –1 run did win however Strasburg didn’t start for the Nationals as he was scratched from the line-up due to a lower back strain.

Tuesday Baseball Trends and Angles

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Indians
· The Tampa Bay Rays are 20–5 to the OVER and +14.60-units in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game this season with an average combined score of 10.1 RPG.
· The Cleveland Indians are 18–8 to the OVER and +10.30-units in home games vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 in the last two seasons with a combined average score of 10.1 RPG.
· Rays manager Cash is 31–15 to the OVER and +15.80-units against American League Central opponents, (average 9.1 RPG.)
· Home plate umpire Lance Barksdale is averaging 9.2 RPG this season in 13 games.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros
· The Houston Astros are 1 – 12 to the UNDER and +11.0-units vs. a starting pitcher who give up 5.5 or less hits per start this season with an average combined score of 6.2 RPG.
· The Los Angeles Angles are 07–19 to the UNDER and +11.40-units vs. an American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 in the last three seasons with an average combined score of 6.7 RPG.
· In 74 games behind home plate during the past three seasons home plate umpire Gary Cederstrom has averaged 8.3 RPG.

Milwaukee Brewers at Oakland Athletics
· The Oakland Athletics are 2–14 and -13.10-units against the money line after three consecutive games versus a division rival this season.
· The Milwaukee Brewers are 11–4 and +8.90-units against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season.
· Oakland’s starter Sonny Gray is 5–11 and -13.40-units against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game losing by an average combined score of 5.1 to 3.7.

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers

· The Los Angeles Dodgers are 21–38 and -30.20-units against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less home runs per start the last two seasons.
· The Nationals are 23 – 16 on the road this season .
· Scott Kazmir is 8–17 and -10.80-units vs. the money line when playing against a team with a winning record the last two seasons.
· Home plate umpire Doug Eddings has seen the road team outscore the host by a margin of 6.2 vs. 5.0 runs per game this season

Cincinnati Reds at Texas Rangers
· Rangers starter Colby Lewis/Team is 15–01 to the OVER and +14.20-units in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the last two seasons averaging a combined 13.9 RPG.
· The Reds are 32–19 to the OVER and +12.40-units against right-handed starters this season, (10.6 combined RPG,) as well as 19–06 to the OVER and +12.90-units after a loss by 6 or more runs during the past two seasons, (10.1 combined RPG.)

Tuesday Night’s MLB System

Kansas City Royals at New York Mets

· Play on all American League underdogs with a money line of +150 or more that average 4.2 or less runs per game when playing against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or lower after a combined score of 3 runs or less. This system is 42 – 28 = 60% but more importantly +45.20-units of profit since 1997. The Royals at +190 is tonight’s MLB system.

For additional winning systems, angles and Tweets visit www.gregdempson.com.